Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x786299a79cc08cfc1c97c773566c8f806f4f7873bbf0d3d1fff7011f2acb063e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f20…1855backed Yes | 5c | 6,301$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.9 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…d820backed Yes | 3c | 2,117$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 39c | 1,895$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.41 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84fa…1327backed Yes | 28c | 1,243$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.2 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…27bfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 114 | 18.4%21 W · 93 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x921a…416bbacked Yes | 2c | 957.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 25c | 843.64$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.8 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa306…9802backed No | 42c | 699.98$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.99 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8891…b5fcbacked Yes | 3c | 563$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5664…f163backed No | 79c | 545.24$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.68 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed No | 78c | 284.49$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.79 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 22c | 279.91$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.43 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed Yes | 37c | 249.95$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.68 | 153 | 31.4%48 W · 105 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 30c | 210.46$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.49 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +77.8wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 76+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 35c | 208.97$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed No | 62c | 199.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f53…41bdbacked No | 51c | 195.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.21 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8257…da02backed Yes | 52c | 192.88$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.86 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 27c | 184.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4628…d573backed Yes | 47c | 184.54$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 20c | 184.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb7…e399backed No | 56c | 175.24$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed No | 78c | 168.73$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.19 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263d…96afbacked No | 60c | 165.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.84 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…d867backed No | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0f…1ecdbacked No | 58c | 163.12$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 19c | 125.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 266 | 16.5%44 W · 222 L | -24.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…9ec1backed Yes | 50c | 120.59$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Yes | 42c | 119.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90a…bb83backed Yes | 24c | 108.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7458backed Yes | 47c | 106.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 58c | 105.8$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 222 | 62.2%138 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…0693backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb74…ae29backed Yes | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 171 | 28.7%49 W · 122 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb244…95fbbacked Yes | 40c | 99.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Yes | 56c | 89.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -7.1wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…d38fbacked No | 59c | 84.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e83…30dabacked No | 59c | 84.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa90a…da95backed No | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x405f…4940backed No | 50c | 73.64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bff…f622backed Yes | 53c | 70.82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef6…4daebacked Yes | 33c | 69.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x991d…ad9dbacked No | 50c | 69.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.69 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca8…3d47backed No | 67c | 68.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d43…9b8cbacked No | 63c | 66.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed No | 64c | 62.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…6124backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fba…8a7dbacked No | 66c | 60.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fa…1a63backed Yes | 23c | 57.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7568…27b2backed No | 60c | 53.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x398e…2315backed No | 77c | 52.87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8392…e3a2backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 20.8%30 W · 114 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe277…8e46backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66a5…56cbbacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb78…8818backed No | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45a8…d8f9backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…9754backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…14f5backed No | 47c | 49.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x833b…d4bbbacked Yes | 43c | 45.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1e…1212backed No | 61c | 44.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…55a9backed Yes | 49c | 42.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…7074backed Yes | 35c | 42.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…767bbacked Yes | 48c | 41.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc436…76c9backed No | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ea…524dbacked Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc2…c707backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…ab94backed No | 61c | 39.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac9…766fbacked No | 51c | 39.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…4092backed Yes | 51c | 39.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 61c | 37.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 161 | 73.9%119 W · 42 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…b22cbacked Yes | 42c | 33.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9949…46bebacked No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d66…0771backed No | 58c | 32.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b2…a12cbacked No | 65c | 30.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…608abacked No | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecca…6a15backed No | 55c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…10dcbacked Yes | 38c | 29.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…3cf7backed No | 51c | 29.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3385…dff2backed No | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3c…615dbacked No | 63c | 24.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x704f…ef5dbacked Yes | 46c | 24.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…9076backed No | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0973…40c4backed Yes | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63fa…1726backed No | 59c | 21.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db7…2a9abacked No | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdeee…cb75backed No | 51c | 20.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80dc…7cf8backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…dab5backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5e…371bbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed No | 52c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 78c | 18.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…2b0abacked No | 60c | 18.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeca…9988backed No | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a0…616bbacked No | 60c | 18.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…90bbbacked No | 59c | 16.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 63. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 23?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 10?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 12?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 13?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 16?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 17?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 18?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 1?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 25?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 28?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 29?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 31?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 8?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 9?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 10?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 12?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 13?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 16?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 17?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 18?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 22?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 24?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 26?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 28?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 29?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 4?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 8?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.