Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x933b8580acc8eee4e858cc6e724e1f2753e9ae24186a544a581903cc68976815
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84fa…1327backed Yes | 43c | 5,355$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,307.23 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf784…ab48backed Yes | 0c | 4,492$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 3c | 4,425$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.09 | 187 | 9.1%17 W · 170 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes | 1c | 2,611$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 69 | 8.7%6 W · 63 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…ab31backed Yes | 1c | 2,257$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2635…41aebacked Yes | 5c | 2,218$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 79c | 1,768$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.17 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…5226backed Yes | 25c | 1,573$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa493…612ebacked No | 57c | 1,213$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.69 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf27c…b5d8backed Yes | 60c | 719.42$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.83 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd383…c77abacked No | 59c | 677.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.29 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcff…2a59backed Yes | 50c | 598.76$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.5 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed No | 62c | 560.7$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.09 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 71c | 533.34$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.94 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 179 | 31.3%56 W · 123 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 43c | 350.64$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.32 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 11c | 311.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c99…317cbacked No | 56c | 307.96$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff30…2f90backed No | 53c | 290.35$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.6 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82bb…3105backed Yes | 71c | 281.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x101e…dcc1backed Yes | 23c | 278$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef28…2d50backed No | 63c | 277.11$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.22 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…ef77backed No | 78c | 266.72$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…b6bbbacked No | 79c | 254.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 78cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabfc…173ebacked No | 43c | 242.51$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 25c | 240.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…b081backed No | 77c | 229.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…0693backed Yes | 19c | 220$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 57c | 210.8$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.18 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…20f5backed Yes | 6c | 207.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 213 | 33.8%72 W · 141 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…4b43backed Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…5ff2backed Yes | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed Yes | 25c | 190.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 153 | 31.4%48 W · 105 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e7…c727backed No | 64c | 185.37$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe7…d95abacked No | 64c | 156.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed No | 65c | 154.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.43 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb631…8a87backed No | 64c | 153.45$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66bc…f66bbacked No | 43c | 153.32$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x485e…1a09backed Yes | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…8fe2backed No | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x739a…096bbacked Yes | 13c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 36c | 141.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.91 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 70c | 134.31$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.4 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 33c | 132.27$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…aec1backed No | 80c | 125.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked No | 31c | 125.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2541…60acbacked Yes | 54c | 122.84$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.17 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad0f…7726backed Yes | 71c | 119.39$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc534…b734backed No | 72c | 108.3$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -7.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…6c5dbacked Yes | 23c | 104.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e66…283abacked No | 23c | 100.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.21 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60f3…4717backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 17c | 94.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfec…685bbacked No | 51c | 87.46$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed No | 72c | 86.85$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed Yes | 29c | 86.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 96 | 26%25 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 44c | 80.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…bd43backed No | 51c | 75.27$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 59c | 74.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7918…f39fbacked No | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad68…9f69backed No | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf5…69b6backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa5…3f52backed No | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…6e67backed Yes | 44c | 54.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…ac4fbacked Yes | 73c | 53.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed No | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 76 | 18.4%14 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab7f…d263backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…5f34backed No | 23c | 49.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51d…373bbacked Yes | 40c | 49.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…09f4backed No | 42c | 47.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…feddbacked Yes | 58c | 46.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 210 | 34.3%72 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca03…72e9backed No | 60c | 41.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5325…6731backed No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a66…dff1backed No | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…2ed0backed No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e37…2273backed No | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec12…9d86backed Yes | 43c | 35.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85a…afb1backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc031…2c43backed Yes | 58c | 34.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…05b4backed No | 43c | 33.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…7aafbacked No | 32c | 32.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 94 | 10.6%10 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f0…0e43backed No | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…29bdbacked Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…b071backed No | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…af22backed No | 71c | 28.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +64%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a07…0d37backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb957…b8acbacked No | 52c | 26.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +6.2wins | +0.39per pick | 42cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fb…90c7backed No | 42c | 26.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eca…b53cbacked No | 63c | 24.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831d…e1babacked No | 64c | 22.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a718backed No | 64c | 21.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7496…1d60backed Yes | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…6bc0backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed Yes | 58c | 18.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac7e…05a0backed Yes | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 63. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 13?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 10?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 12?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 13?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 16?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 17?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 18?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 1?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 25?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 28?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 29?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 31?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 8?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 9?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 10?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 12?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 16?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 17?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 18?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 22?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 24?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 26?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 28?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 29?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 4?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 8?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.