Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf42ebd4973dbae0fad37a0607930db2ebe62c5d5196c75c7f3ff6f716dfe4b83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,857,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,809,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,857,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x23ed…aebcbacked Yes | 1c | 316,779$2,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,270.95 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12a7…8ea0backed Yes | 2c | 130,899$2,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,605.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x345a…b413backed Yes | 0c | 119,663$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cb…bbf0backed Yes | 1c | 90,322$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.39 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba0…97bfbacked Yes | 10c | 82,107$8,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,215.05 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb74…ae29backed Yes | 1c | 56,311$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.46 | 171 | 28.7%49 W · 122 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc682…17bbbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…e01cbacked Yes | 0c | 35,445$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec0b…69e6backed Yes | 67c | 34,622$23,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,109.92 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84fa…1327backed Yes | 6c | 27,484$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.94 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 1c | 20,907$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.42 | 187 | 9.1%17 W · 170 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a61…588bbacked Yes | 0c | 20,387$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2547…937fbacked Yes | 4c | 16,083$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.29 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d5…c4c0backed Yes | 3c | 15,300$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.94 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 9c | 15,156$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.76 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…954bbacked Yes | 1c | 14,889$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.25 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e65…77e1backed Yes | 1c | 13,668$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed7…e255backed Yes | 9c | 13,258$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9099backed Yes | 10c | 11,337$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.64 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc03…4571backed Yes | 0c | 10,544$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 3c | 9,008$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.12 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 54c | 7,498$4,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,429.15 | 179 | 31.3%56 W · 123 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…d749backed Yes | 1c | 7,293$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 66 | 0%0 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2541…60acbacked Yes | 4c | 7,229$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.95 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 1c | 7,168$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes | 1c | 6,759$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 3c | 6,713$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.13 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e09…ab25backed Yes | 4c | 6,214$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…bac4backed Yes | 1c | 6,199$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.8 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17ba…a074backed Yes | 2c | 5,852$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.19 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x966e…b2febacked Yes | 2c | 5,509$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…5f34backed No | 16c | 5,255$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,431.37 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb39…36cbbacked Yes | 0c | 5,134$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…3715backed Yes | 3c | 5,044$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.42 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…4811backed Yes | 11c | 4,968$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.83 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…5ce7backed Yes | 1c | 4,770$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9221…03a6backed Yes | 2c | 4,617$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.33 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -8.2wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed No | 22c | 4,123$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,225.01 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b91…12b0backed Yes | 5c | 4,055$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ab…bcd9backed Yes | 73c | 4,000$2,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,916.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe5…8df3backed Yes | 1c | 3,634$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9710…80a3backed Yes | 21c | 3,469$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7f…e26cbacked Yes | 18c | 3,391$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da5…25edbacked Yes | 6c | 3,227$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.84 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x436d…68e5backed Yes | 1c | 3,115$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…194bbacked Yes | 66c | 3,030$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.74 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | +19.1wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +62%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x755b…f4f5backed Yes | 2c | 3,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a7…6d60backed Yes | 1c | 2,840$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdef5…4a71backed Yes | 0c | 2,750$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f0…d8a0backed No | 77c | 2,716$2,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.58 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8119…50bfbacked Yes | 3c | 2,700$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 18c | 2,612$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.93 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf22…5473backed Yes | 8c | 2,585$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.84 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb208…90f7backed Yes | 3c | 2,496$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.45 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32a5…99e3backed Yes | 3c | 2,402$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x909f…a8c3backed No | 10c | 2,348$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108.66 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 23cpaid | +233.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 31c | 2,250$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.89 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c46…a137backed Yes | 1c | 2,242$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95da…60b4backed Yes | 1c | 2,134$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…20f5backed Yes | 2c | 2,106$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 213 | 33.8%72 W · 141 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb144…0c8abacked Yes | 5c | 2,010$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed No | 15c | 2,000$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.73 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…385dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7c…6273backed Yes | 1c | 1,920$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked No | 48c | 1,864$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.68 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 22c | 1,760$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.2 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…90bcbacked Yes | 4c | 1,690$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5664…f163backed No | 70c | 1,616$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.02 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…b624backed Yes | 3c | 1,600$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…d990backed Yes | 1c | 1,571$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 2c | 1,515$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…c0efbacked Yes | 17c | 1,498$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.63 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 11c | 1,449$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.66 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf710…5686backed Yes | 2c | 1,406$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x630d…14f3backed Yes | 1c | 1,376$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee87…4d9fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,294$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.96 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked No | 51c | 1,221$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.28 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc97a…44d7backed Yes | 9c | 1,163$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.93 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1272…92e9backed Yes | 5c | 1,142$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783e…d7c8backed Yes | 78c | 1,131$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…afd3backed Yes | 1c | 1,081$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…488bbacked No | 43c | 1,046$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.66 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5039…946dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…7701backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6a…7f9cbacked Yes | 3c | 933.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b92…45eebacked Yes | 6c | 917.56$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd427…05adbacked No | 11c | 916.19$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.07 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe55e…0a13backed Yes | 3c | 879.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc078…6cd0backed Yes | 12c | 821.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aea…dadfbacked No | 24c | 816.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +308.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f20…1855backed No | 18c | 809.53$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.89 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc976…0ad5backed Yes | 3c | 786.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368b…b73cbacked Yes | 12c | 783.1$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.66 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…de68backed No | 73c | 768.68$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…231bbacked No | 39c | 754.8$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.59 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +64%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…16d2backed No | 71c | 739.99$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…c62abacked Yes | 4c | 726.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6b…fba5backed No | 32c | 704.77$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…7ce7backed No | 29c | 693.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +246.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe555…782fbacked Yes | 76c | 669.92$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.92 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.3wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 63. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 10?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 12?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 13?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 16?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 17?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 18?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 1?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 25?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 28?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 29?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 31?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 8?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 9?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 10?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 12?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 13?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 16?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 17?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 18?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 22?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 24?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 26?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 28?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 29?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 4?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 8?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.