Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cbf60b9b5c6b6572f7f46e273eac516018b78811670775b87878a8ed15301e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,457
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,457 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 1c | 3,052$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 187 | 9.1%17 W · 170 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 35c | 1,449$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.03 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes | 1c | 1,300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 69 | 8.7%6 W · 63 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66bc…c328backed Yes | 39c | 1,195$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…b000backed Yes | 6c | 1,167$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 4c | 999.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 179 | 31.3%56 W · 123 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 7c | 881.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.87 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62b9…818ebacked Yes | 4c | 687.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfc…ee99backed No | 65c | 572.1$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 11c | 489.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…a649backed Yes | 4c | 475$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked Yes | 28c | 436.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 177 | 55.4%98 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3033backed Yes | 49c | 406.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 3c | 400$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf899…6d7fbacked Yes | 5c | 390.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed Yes | 4c | 349.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 153 | 31.4%48 W · 105 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 30c | 349.96$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 6c | 342.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…5f58backed Yes | 47c | 257.38$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.61 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes | 9c | 250.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf22…5473backed Yes | 6c | 237.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed Yes | 47c | 218.08$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.38 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed No | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fd…4373backed No | 59c | 170.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.85 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f23…27cbbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2eca…b53cbacked No | 61c | 161.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.42 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe00…e75ebacked No | 70c | 145.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef6…4daebacked Yes | 28c | 145.71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe7…d95abacked No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 61c | 122$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e66…283abacked Yes | 43c | 121.54$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcd…de5ebacked No | 64c | 121.53$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 38c | 113.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x590a…204abacked No | 52c | 108.65$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.97 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…8d6bbacked Yes | 71c | 106.85$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…1656backed No | 70c | 106.83$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8257…da02backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…09e2backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c33…8c23backed No | 52c | 94.58$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac7e…05a0backed Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed9e…f5f1backed No | 63c | 81$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 45c | 80.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.01 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 34c | 79$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…26b5backed Yes | 67c | 74.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x082e…cd4cbacked No | 46c | 70.47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed No | 32c | 66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa7…3058backed No | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…e4f8backed No | 57c | 50.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f0…d8a0backed No | 73c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f80…7be8backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46c8…1154backed No | 58c | 49.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b1…29fdbacked No | 70c | 49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…5bb5backed Yes | 47c | 45.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa713…8616backed No | 62c | 45.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d46…feefbacked Yes | 40c | 45.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb52…92eebacked No | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.7wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2389…504dbacked Yes | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0934…f376backed No | 29c | 39.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…3585backed No | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…af22backed No | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +64%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc62b…6b5bbacked Yes | 59c | 35.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…eda0backed Yes | 32c | 34.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked No | 70c | 31.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791c…f797backed No | 65c | 30.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…29bdbacked Yes | 44c | 30.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 42c | 30.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeac…b326backed No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de5…1d2dbacked No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e43…a702backed No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…6c59backed No | 79c | 28.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6155…6827backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…d42fbacked No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed No | 69c | 28.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes | 71c | 28.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +6.9wins | +0.31per pick | 46cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 61c | 25.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 49c | 20.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 306 | 35.9%110 W · 196 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2031…efbbbacked No | 59c | 20.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…9804backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9016…e132backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f37…b616backed No | 69c | 15.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc111…8fb6backed Yes | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…4a7fbacked No | 76c | 14.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 63. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 7?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 10?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 12?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 13?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 16?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 17?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 18?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 1?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 25?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 28?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 29?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 31?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 8?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 9?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 10?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 12?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 13?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 16?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 17?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 18?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 22?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 24?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 26?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 28?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 29?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 4?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 8?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.