Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x487cc725c480313129d477b51b248ba84480aee5de3aa8428df10acc2aa63fee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 2c | 5,226$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.59 | 187 | 9.1%17 W · 170 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,326$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…2a87backed Yes | 38c | 1,171$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.85 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 52c | 1,013$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.32 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…bb12backed Yes | 26c | 899.96$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.49 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e7…aec1backed Yes | 24c | 741.45$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes | 73c | 683.3$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 22c | 650.72$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.49 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 29c | 590.98$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.76 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 30c | 468.36$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed Yes | 34c | 285.49$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 153 | 31.4%48 W · 105 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0f…0522backed No | 71c | 281.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…22fabacked No | 73c | 273.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc4…c6b9backed Yes | 15c | 262.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef28…2d50backed No | 65c | 200$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.83 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0489…ddf7backed Yes | 11c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 54c | 195.26$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed No | 77c | 186.7$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.37 | 96 | 26%25 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 18c | 180.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2547…937fbacked Yes | 10c | 175.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3652…fb9abacked Yes | 37c | 174$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2038…8617backed Yes | 37c | 174$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 66c | 170.06$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…3975backed Yes | 37c | 166$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c30…0bf3backed No | 63c | 165$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde50…b444backed No | 63c | 164$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe91f…a9aebacked Yes | 37c | 163$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad68…9f69backed No | 63c | 159.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.38 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…e673backed Yes | 37c | 158$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…10c4backed No | 63c | 157$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f99…2fd1backed Yes | 37c | 155$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…812dbacked No | 65c | 154.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4854…0887backed Yes | 42c | 152.03$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31c7…4f36backed No | 63c | 152$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5536…8637backed Yes | 37c | 149$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac1…8dc4backed Yes | 37c | 148$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…0293backed No | 63c | 147$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd110…2a6fbacked No | 63c | 146$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b06…dedebacked Yes | 37c | 144$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…dd88backed No | 72c | 139.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc290…bc01backed No | 63c | 139$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…8b7abacked No | 63c | 139$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…232fbacked No | 63c | 138$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a5…9211backed No | 66c | 134$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c99…317cbacked No | 78c | 128.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe988…1291backed No | 70c | 123.75$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef32…4847backed No | 65c | 118.74$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb730…ada5backed No | 69c | 117.97$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 28c | 116.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f83…e5adbacked No | 78c | 109.14$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 29c | 104.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1834…2b7ebacked No | 79c | 101.52$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…8beabacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc487…005fbacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa493…612ebacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa14a…df2abacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…9ea3backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…605abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x590a…204abacked No | 70c | 86.04$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2229…e543backed Yes | 22c | 83.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 28c | 72.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 266 | 16.5%44 W · 222 L | -24.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…1159backed No | 76c | 70.58$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…29f5backed No | 58c | 68.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…608abacked No | 75c | 66.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…05b4backed No | 54c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x119e…386bbacked No | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2f…6b66backed No | 77c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…2d51backed Yes | 25c | 52.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 30c | 47.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 313 | 44.1%138 W · 175 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e06…4e93backed No | 69c | 43.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed No | 42c | 43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e6…45f8backed Yes | 37c | 41.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +417.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xac7e…05a0backed No | 80c | 37.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1304…e358backed No | 71c | 35.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 41c | 31.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xede8…e1c6backed No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab7f…d263backed No | 37c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596c…c0a6backed No | 72c | 27.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6b…13c6backed No | 69c | 27.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84dd…586fbacked No | 69c | 26.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…529fbacked No | 74c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…f086backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa5…3f52backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8891…b5fcbacked No | 79c | 13.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.88 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 63. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 15?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 10?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 12?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 13?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 16?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 17?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 18?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 1?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 25?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 28?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 29?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 31?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 8?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 9?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 10?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 12?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 13?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 16?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 17?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 18?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 22?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 24?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 26?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 28?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 29?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 4?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 8?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.