Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa73f46d7220213e510b95dc89137162b82fc437d13122b8798e7ca1bc06f449a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a71…954bbacked No | 0c | 3,682$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed No | 4c | 2,000$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.72 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc43a…349ebacked No | 6c | 1,770$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db3…6758backed No | 3c | 1,698$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…93d4backed No | 5c | 1,692$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…20f5backed No | 2c | 1,675$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 213 | 33.8%72 W · 141 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…054bbacked No | 11c | 1,564$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.36 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…5f34backed No | 51c | 1,503$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.89 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…9d7ebacked No | 4c | 1,383$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a7…6d60backed No | 8c | 1,311$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.21 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 77c | 1,206$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.04 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6e…269fbacked No | 13c | 1,092$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 10c | 1,016$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e09…ab25backed Yes | 55c | 999.96$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes | 62c | 962.69$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.95 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…2d74backed No | 44c | 934.9$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.7 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…b60abacked No | 3c | 856$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed No | 5c | 839.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 187 | 9.1%17 W · 170 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c79…a21cbacked No | 2c | 802.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…9d86backed Yes | 36c | 770.23$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.23 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 7c | 710.49$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc073…ab63backed No | 15c | 640.75$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6a…7f9cbacked Yes | 26c | 564.51$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69df…8262backed No | 5c | 520.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed No | 6c | 514.76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 65c | 441.43$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.85 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f0…d8a0backed No | 4c | 426.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 63c | 426.08$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.31 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5090…249cbacked No | 5c | 416.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f80…7be8backed Yes | 45c | 404.04$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 55c | 399.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed No | 5c | 392.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 153 | 31.4%48 W · 105 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…e73fbacked No | 3c | 361.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 36c | 345.88$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.14 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 75c | 333.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.69 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c07…8c2bbacked Yes | 54c | 325.89$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa65…625abacked Yes | 36c | 323.18$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…3485backed No | 40c | 321.12$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7458backed No | 45c | 300.11$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.05 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes | 61c | 300.07$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.83 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6039…03a0backed No | 39c | 287.93$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5352…a8d3backed No | 41c | 268.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbdf…c675backed Yes | 38c | 266.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.13 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 38c | 261.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 47c | 233.25$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.75 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdea…27a7backed No | 30c | 229.34$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7f…e26cbacked Yes | 45c | 220.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f9…2697backed Yes | 23c | 216.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.03 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x342c…22febacked No | 80c | 215$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…de95backed No | 40c | 200$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc45…8bd6backed No | 44c | 177.49$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9365…b6d7backed No | 14c | 175.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +128.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…a426backed Yes | 80c | 171.91$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d5…af7fbacked Yes | 59c | 168$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.31 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…a0d7backed Yes | 43c | 162.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.25 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3379…72b9backed Yes | 49c | 150.11$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…1c78backed Yes | 75c | 144.65$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf710…5686backed Yes | 61c | 141.11$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb144…0c8abacked No | 9c | 130.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 10c | 121.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.79 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x440c…a4f1backed No | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +132.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…7aafbacked No | 24c | 109.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 94 | 10.6%10 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 47c | 108.2$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.21 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb543…9961backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e8…f5bfbacked Yes | 14c | 90.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 17c | 85.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.21 | 266 | 16.5%44 W · 222 L | -24.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 58c | 79.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01f4…2c5ebacked No | 40c | 78.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368b…b73cbacked Yes | 25c | 73.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6301…c97dbacked No | 42c | 71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…e00abacked No | 63c | 68.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed Yes | 55c | 67.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9e…9543backed No | 38c | 66.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…c924backed Yes | 46c | 50.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a0…175dbacked Yes | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb4…1ee7backed No | 42c | 48.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…e3bfbacked No | 44c | 47.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1089…64babacked No | 44c | 47.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…d786backed Yes | 71c | 42.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf7…3787backed No | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5534…eb60backed No | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked No | 36c | 32.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0b…ad07backed No | 36c | 31.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…608abacked No | 35c | 29.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaea4…6817backed No | 42c | 28.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…3dc2backed Yes | 73c | 27.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb7…e0d8backed No | 46c | 25.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23a0…7a5fbacked Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0468…a6afbacked Yes | 76c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…fa2fbacked Yes | 76c | 17.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +839.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 63. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 1?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 10?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 12?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 13?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 16?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 17?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 18?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 25?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 28?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 29?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 31?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 8?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 9?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 10?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 12?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 13?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 16?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 17?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 18?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 22?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 24?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 26?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 28?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 29?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 4?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 8?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.