Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd02ac37da1841d36f0dea06c4b9a529f74eb6aec1baa3383d16c28bdeba7135c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x711c…8495backed No | 6c | 7,878$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.21 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed No | 0c | 6,146$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…4597backed No | 1c | 5,186$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.43 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +18.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 5c | 4,800$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb74…ae29backed No | 2c | 3,926$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.28 | 171 | 28.7%49 W · 122 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0838…1090backed No | 23c | 3,734$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…ce76backed No | 5c | 2,913$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.23 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…20f5backed No | 3c | 2,630$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.45 | 213 | 33.8%72 W · 141 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 37c | 2,567$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.7 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7af8…39ebbacked No | 1c | 2,442$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0771…384dbacked No | 14c | 2,434$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97a…44d7backed No | 1c | 2,145$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…054bbacked No | 27c | 1,842$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.2 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked No | 4c | 1,768$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.07 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fa…1327backed Yes | 72c | 1,611$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.12 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed No | 7c | 1,410$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.69 | 187 | 9.1%17 W · 170 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4080…8b41backed No | 67c | 1,311$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…5f34backed Yes | 58c | 1,249$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.55 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 2c | 1,200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc976…0ad5backed No | 6c | 1,159$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64df…ab80backed No | 10c | 1,151$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…90e3backed Yes | 39c | 1,113$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.21 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 2c | 1,112$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed No | 5c | 1,058$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8809…6e34backed No | 2c | 1,007$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf57…37fbbacked No | 2c | 805.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed Yes | 34c | 699.97$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.98 | 96 | 26%25 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked No | 62c | 685.99$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed No | 64c | 611.26$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +53%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3692…5748backed No | 10c | 579.52$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a42…66efbacked No | 18c | 552.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27c…b5d8backed Yes | 39c | 542.65$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.89 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked No | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 72c | 491.15$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.04 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed No | 4c | 442.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 69 | 8.7%6 W · 63 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0289…6a0bbacked No | 7c | 413.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 8c | 400$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 45c | 349.95$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.25 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 19c | 289.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +77.8wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 76+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Yes | 26c | 286.23$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.81 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…1c8fbacked No | 77c | 258.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c46…a137backed No | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7270…55acbacked No | 51c | 245.28$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.17 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…928abacked No | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…1c78backed Yes | 35c | 206.1$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.35 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a7…6d60backed No | 9c | 204.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed No | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 153 | 31.4%48 W · 105 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…c27ebacked No | 59c | 192.71$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.55 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x582f…c0f6backed No | 55c | 182.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e6…fd76backed No | 66c | 181.64$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb979…6297backed No | 62c | 180.12$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Yes | 73c | 178.27$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 31c | 169.49$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.45 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…7febbacked No | 22c | 168$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a5…874dbacked No | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b928backed No | 62c | 158.47$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762b…7654backed No | 10c | 156.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…eb86backed No | 63c | 155.56$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked Yes | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 177 | 55.4%98 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a5…a4c6backed No | 67c | 149.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae7…0fd1backed No | 70c | 144$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed No | 73c | 136.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -7.1wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x61f0…529ebacked Yes | 39c | 129.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.29 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…9ec1backed Yes | 38c | 124.04$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.61 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 30c | 118.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.81 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7e…a211backed Yes | 80c | 116.05$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcff…2a59backed Yes | 49c | 115.06$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.68 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc36a…be63backed Yes | 49c | 112.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.55 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…43cdbacked No | 56c | 111.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…11ccbacked Yes | 48c | 110.01$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed7…e255backed Yes | 77c | 109.85$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d82…ed61backed Yes | 34c | 103.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.44 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e30…3adfbacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba0…97bfbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe3…8efabacked No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -52%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff30…2f90backed No | 20c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb543…9961backed No | 13c | 99.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9221…03a6backed Yes | 45c | 95.17$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.89 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -8.2wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4030…14c0backed No | 48c | 87.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed No | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Yes | 54c | 86.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62e7…53ecbacked No | 59c | 81.31$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x159e…8533backed No | 59c | 79.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4e…eda6backed Yes | 53c | 75.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc28…105bbacked No | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda04…793ebacked No | 56c | 70.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…fd67backed Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6806…1429backed No | 70c | 70$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…8f6cbacked Yes | 42c | 64.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…a55cbacked No | 63c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked No | 69c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe277…8e46backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe69a…9323backed No | 32c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…dab5backed Yes | 37c | 54.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec8…2466backed Yes | 48c | 51.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f23…db8bbacked No | 73c | 49.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dda…74aebacked No | 63c | 48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc57e…e542backed No | 64c | 47.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 63. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 8?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 10?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 12?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 13?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 16?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 17?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 18?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 1?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 25?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 28?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 29?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 31?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 9?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 10?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 12?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 13?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 16?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 17?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 18?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 22?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 24?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 26?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 28?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 29?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 4?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 8?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.