Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a4b4fa8bd9e0e40ce46f65bfcf720bf714761470d3451c3a0109cf6aa18f7bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3164…3033backed Yes | 73c | 5,983$4,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.94 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked No | 6c | 3,400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 7c | 2,059$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.16 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +151%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa493…612ebacked No | 37c | 1,726$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.26 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9c…cf78backed No | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 7c | 1,300$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e2…9631backed No | 66c | 1,265$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 13c | 1,230$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.9 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +8.6wins | +0.16per pick | 14cpaid | +154.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked No | 55c | 1,027$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.81 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 41c | 1,006$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.16 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed No | 9c | 818.03$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.58 | 153 | 31.4%48 W · 105 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb73e…c66fbacked Yes | 59c | 776.17$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked Yes | 60c | 741.09$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.93 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…31a2backed No | 9c | 599.28$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fa…1327backed Yes | 54c | 505.59$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.14 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 60c | 477.61$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.01 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc850…a960backed No | 7c | 474.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 5c | 410$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 322 | 43.5%140 W · 182 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…bb12backed Yes | 30c | 340$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.6 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…8da0backed No | 49c | 321.22$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.66 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe9…8308backed Yes | 33c | 299.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.99 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 29c | 281.15$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.4 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a718backed No | 65c | 269.49$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 45c | 261.46$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.58 | 313 | 44.1%138 W · 175 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 19c | 200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed No | 72c | 200$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.72 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 66c | 199.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…af58backed No | 59c | 199.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.99 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e66…283abacked No | 46c | 199.98$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.99 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed No | 65c | 198.01$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.06 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff30…2f90backed No | 25c | 195$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x860f…0a33backed No | 64c | 176.78$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes | 37c | 174.84$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.7 | 69 | 8.7%6 W · 63 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…29bdbacked Yes | 32c | 150.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660f…ec30backed Yes | 51c | 148$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c41…1533backed No | 9c | 145.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…feddbacked Yes | 38c | 144.06$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.17 | 210 | 34.3%72 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…7e75backed No | 71c | 140.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc97a…44d7backed Yes | 64c | 140.83$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Yes | 39c | 136.73$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.05 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cd…ee6dbacked Yes | 45c | 121.44$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ba…a074backed No | 10c | 117.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b9…a226backed Yes | 53c | 113.57$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.95 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba0…97bfbacked No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed No | 58c | 98.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.41 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.47per pick | 64cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 41c | 94.22$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.74 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc162…40bbbacked No | 63c | 93.94$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc4…c6b9backed Yes | 34c | 92.87$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed No | 69c | 88.63$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 40c | 85.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfb…7d18backed Yes | 45c | 85.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3dc…ce0bbacked No | 63c | 84.62$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…767bbacked Yes | 48c | 82.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…6e67backed Yes | 53c | 69.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed Yes | 59c | 69.47$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf165…1493backed Yes | 55c | 67.29$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce21…0b2abacked No | 74c | 66.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51d…373bbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f5…8f3cbacked Yes | 35c | 59.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 29c | 57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 42c | 55.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 33c | 52.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x590a…204abacked No | 67c | 52.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…ce05backed No | 25c | 52.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd222…fe42backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3538…6c69backed Yes | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a8fdbacked No | 56c | 49.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe277…8e46backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7a…44efbacked Yes | 58c | 45.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…e89ebacked No | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 61c | 43.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 342 | 34.8%119 W · 223 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1183…a067backed Yes | 58c | 43.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3648…3589backed No | 60c | 41.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a61…588bbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…09f4backed No | 50c | 39.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4e…8ae5backed No | 66c | 38.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb4…1ee7backed No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3dd…5bebbacked No | 53c | 38.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd1…ee93backed No | 47c | 36.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e7…c727backed Yes | 42c | 35.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ae…ee94backed Yes | 29c | 35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7afa…5cb0backed No | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb063…c9d1backed No | 58c | 34.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac7e…05a0backed No | 61c | 33.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8891…b5fcbacked Yes | 44c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes | 39c | 32.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993e…33f7backed No | 44c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd590…5421backed No | 45c | 31.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2813…5c42backed No | 64c | 31.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c05…457bbacked No | 64c | 31.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…24debacked No | 48c | 30.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…9b94backed No | 48c | 29.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…e5d1backed Yes | 70c | 29.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked Yes | 74c | 26.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 40c | 25.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65cc…019abacked Yes | 65c | 24.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf8…825dbacked No | 44c | 24.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6becbacked Yes | 70c | 23.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 63. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 19?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 10?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 12?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 13?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 16?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 17?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 18?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 1?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 25?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 28?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 29?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 31?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 8?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 9?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 10?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 12?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 13?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 16?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 17?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 18?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 22?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 24?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 26?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 28?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 29?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 4?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 8?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.