TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe0b5…e89e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Venezuela, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Venezuela at 60 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST1553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+91%+$197.59
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+53.4%+$187
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+255.2%+$600.46
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+25.5%+$72.1
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$40.44
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "DOGE" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump say "China" 3+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump say "War" 5+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+112.3%+$112.3
Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+52.3%+$10.47
Will Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+77.2%+$15.44
Will Trump say "F-35" or "B-2" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+51.8%+$31.71
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$139.97
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-41.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+209.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+79.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs Lynn Vision (BO3)backed Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$391.02
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3)backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$467.03
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO5)backed Gaimin Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+231.6%+$231.58
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-49.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+52.3%+$52.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South Africa win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+47.1%+$237.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$27.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$230.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Troy vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Troy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$150.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.