Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e6ff03d48ea73396ca8c8eac6a8cada2a7507545a78901c4769776be351eaf5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,511,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,295,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,511,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 887 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x395d…21ebbacked No | 0c | 6,034,712$19,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,727.51 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd15b…a7fdbacked No | 0c | 495,000$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x148e…bb48backed No | 0c | 327,051$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…c103backed No | 0c | 300,300$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked No | 3c | 250,658$8,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,236.83 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed No | 1c | 233,174$2,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,354.5 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed No | 0c | 200,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 0c | 159,042$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.43 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f1…7e74backed No | 0c | 143,770$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…456fbacked No | 0c | 143,153$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cf…137cbacked No | 0c | 118,698$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a5…641dbacked No | 0c | 111,820$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…7865backed No | 0c | 107,000$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…d129backed No | 2c | 102,929$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f3…5844backed No | 0c | 85,730$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9339…a56fbacked No | 0c | 84,969$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92fa…7d02backed No | 1c | 60,103$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…b561backed No | 0c | 60,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x833b…d4bbbacked No | 2c | 56,618$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…f511backed No | 0c | 56,002$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.39 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…632bbacked No | 0c | 52,727$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 37c | 52,175$19,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,656.41 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe120…682fbacked No | 0c | 51,850$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…e1c7backed No | 0c | 50,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c60…27f5backed No | 1c | 47,853$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Yes | 44c | 47,264$20,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,280.97 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f1…bdc6backed No | 0c | 47,100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40b…d149backed No | 0c | 44,990$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…87abbacked No | 0c | 44,880$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x466a…c444backed No | 4c | 44,038$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20fa…19f7backed No | 4c | 42,968$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed20…84f1backed No | 0c | 42,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked No | 0c | 40,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…51a4backed No | 1c | 38,532$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…79dfbacked No | 10c | 36,861$3,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,735.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed No | 1c | 36,692$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 0c | 32,000$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 61 | 0%0 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7b…8e33backed No | 1c | 30,424$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…fb57backed No | 0c | 30,262$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf044…8e78backed No | 0c | 30,029$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -71%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…6c0bbacked No | 0c | 29,460$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ff…9f4abacked No | 16c | 28,274$4,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,437 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d8…dfebbacked No | 0c | 27,891$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.1 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6944…4efabacked No | 0c | 27,023$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5526…0456backed No | 0c | 26,175$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cef…4017backed No | 0c | 26,151$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 2c | 25,166$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.88 | 320 | 29.1%93 W · 227 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa89…a673backed No | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd38…7596backed No | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddfb…359fbacked No | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 7cpaid | +124.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf6…a92bbacked No | 1c | 23,707$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…78c6backed No | 0c | 23,333$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 15c | 22,674$3,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,465.9 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…e2bdbacked No | 8c | 21,278$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.59 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 29cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed No | 11c | 20,918$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.61 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1410…a67dbacked No | 0c | 20,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +135.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d19…733abacked No | 20c | 19,999$3,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,964.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…82e8backed No | 0c | 19,833$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked No | 7c | 19,822$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.78 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e51…53cabacked No | 1c | 19,143$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…1b95backed No | 0c | 18,070$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb02…dbb0backed No | 0c | 17,928$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71b4…a002backed No | 4c | 17,812$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe507…ab17backed No | 1c | 17,385$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea4…8ff7backed No | 1c | 17,229$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed No | 1c | 16,757$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.42 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e66…ff67backed No | 0c | 15,468$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73eb…e407backed No | 0c | 15,464$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d0…f949backed No | 0c | 15,087$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6c…cd75backed No | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8017…3366backed No | 1c | 14,636$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…bc19backed No | 0c | 14,373$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…1a67backed No | 0c | 14,200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed No | 0c | 14,159$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.77 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a5…9de7backed Yes | 12c | 14,085$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,347.22 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +9.5wins | +0.24per pick | 12cpaid | +185%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x81d9…2737backed No | 2c | 14,044$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…8d0dbacked No | 57c | 14,000$7,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,919.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7389…67f8backed No | 0c | 13,493$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc372…dda1backed No | 0c | 13,333$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed No | 1c | 12,926$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.42 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed No | 46c | 12,773$5,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,917.88 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadbf…da7bbacked No | 1c | 12,655$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…311abacked No | 0c | 12,620$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…1b93backed No | 61c | 12,500$7,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,603.11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc496…a610backed No | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc736…1fc2backed No | 0c | 11,750$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa9…680abacked No | 1c | 11,528$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…d4ecbacked No | 0c | 11,027$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…88fabacked Yes | 46c | 10,951$5,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,866.4 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…5489backed No | 1c | 10,680$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed Yes | 67c | 10,664$7,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,515.36 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6347…36febacked No | 0c | 10,637$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed No | 42c | 10,615$4,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,430.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ac…67b8backed No | 0c | 10,500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x106e…8f8ebacked No | 0c | 10,472$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eda…75ddbacked Yes | 79c | 10,457$8,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.48 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2a…6bfebacked No | 33c | 10,295$3,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,355.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 12cpaid | +712.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 75c | 10,031$7,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,556.65 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…01f2backed No | 0c | 10,020$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff69…bd15backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?this page
- Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.