Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a17af0a20c160507cbdee8f0755e76bd21d2c09375f186a31c1aa456632c0ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,800,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,700,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,800,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 562 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x395d…21ebbacked No | 0c | 3,301,375$9,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,682.65 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd15b…a7fdbacked No | 0c | 314,421$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce5b…047abacked No | 0c | 300,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06cc…0b12backed No | 0c | 299,012$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd38…7596backed No | 0c | 100,393$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…7652backed No | 0c | 80,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea66…2903backed No | 0c | 72,527$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2746…a54ebacked No | 0c | 62,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1dd…5625backed No | 0c | 58,385$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 0c | 51,000$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 61 | 0%0 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…5074backed No | 0c | 30,500$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed No | 13c | 28,010$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a8…c9bbbacked No | 0c | 26,683$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71a6…c7ffbacked No | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0668…7349backed No | 0c | 22,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed20…84f1backed No | 0c | 21,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb24…8941backed No | 0c | 20,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc33…633ebacked No | 0c | 18,287$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked No | 0c | 18,000$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2533…3932backed No | 0c | 17,025$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36cf…eca6backed No | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8754…2db6backed No | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9449…3e6cbacked No | 0c | 15,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked No | 0c | 15,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed41…a389backed No | 0c | 15,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 57c | 14,676$8,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,247.01 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…4060backed No | 0c | 14,591$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddfb…359fbacked No | 0c | 13,667$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 7cpaid | +124.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked No | 0c | 13,193$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e6…526cbacked No | 0c | 13,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Yes | 38c | 12,503$4,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,692.03 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…ebb0backed No | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…1deabacked No | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ee…f0d1backed No | 0c | 12,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf68…928dbacked No | 0c | 11,830$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4371…a2ebbacked No | 0c | 11,559$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…88fabacked Yes | 49c | 11,203$5,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,740.58 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a75dbacked No | 0c | 11,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3655…d2babacked No | 0c | 11,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x179e…ebe8backed No | 0c | 10,573$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…8a81backed No | 0c | 10,333$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…d4ecbacked No | 0c | 10,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa89…a673backed No | 0c | 10,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740f…6b2abacked No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x169f…d837backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd636…1004backed No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc8…620cbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed5f…94acbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf564…09dcbacked No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7423…44e1backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5d…a8a4backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b19…c1f1backed No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 40c | 9,377$3,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,621.17 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed No | 1c | 9,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf7…7ae4backed No | 0c | 8,826$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 1c | 8,021$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.18 | 320 | 29.1%93 W · 227 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0108…0d26backed No | 37c | 7,684$2,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,843.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd890…9949backed No | 0c | 7,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…1b93backed No | 71c | 7,000$4,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,954.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48aa…54e5backed No | 56c | 6,808$3,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800.54 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x510e…641fbacked No | 0c | 6,750$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…fb4ebacked No | 0c | 6,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…4623backed No | 0c | 6,638$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…127bbacked No | 0c | 6,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…c7e6backed No | 0c | 6,117$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bf…3f5fbacked No | 0c | 5,870$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…8218backed No | 40c | 5,862$2,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,369.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…7429backed No | 0c | 5,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1a…aceabacked No | 0c | 5,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…35f5backed No | 0c | 5,333$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a5…9de7backed Yes | 25c | 5,286$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,953.71 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +9.5wins | +0.24per pick | 12cpaid | +185%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…ca27backed No | 0c | 5,124$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…1b8fbacked No | 1c | 5,070$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8b…6433backed No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cd…f0c5backed No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c4…444fbacked No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb2…158ebacked No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…f511backed No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3e…dc7dbacked No | 64c | 5,000$3,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b48…ecdcbacked No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf9…4665backed No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked No | 16c | 4,681$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x444b…add1backed No | 72c | 4,371$3,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,127.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53fe…90e6backed No | 1c | 4,324$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 16c | 4,171$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.62 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 64c | 4,160$2,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.32 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 40c | 3,703$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.61 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4b…e0f4backed No | 1c | 3,504$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…d376backed Yes | 34c | 3,413$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,252.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee9f…b134backed No | 66c | 3,413$2,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,252.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94da…463fbacked No | 0c | 3,258$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked No | 43c | 3,208$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.51 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 8c | 3,045$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.03 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 38c | 3,000$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.96 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d2…952ebacked No | 42c | 2,596$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.31 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…e887backed Yes | 28c | 2,517$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.71 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d9…3a2ebacked Yes | 73c | 2,509$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b62…cadfbacked No | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadbf…da7bbacked No | 1c | 2,422$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…1b68backed No | 10c | 2,310$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.28 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?this page
- Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.