TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5c60…27f5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Movies, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 50 out of 100; worst Venezuela at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Trail Blazersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+44.9%+$44.93
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Magic vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Suns vs. Warriorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Wizards vs. Grizzliesbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+558%+$214.21
Hornets vs. Pistonsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Pacers vs. Pelicansbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Magic vs. Nuggetsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+159.1%+$286.42
Raptors vs. Heatbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+170.3%+$34.05
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+75.4%+$60.35
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Bulls vs. Hornetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+75.4%+$30.18
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+63.9%+$31.97
Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H Moneylinebacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$26
All 19 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+635.3%+$127.06
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$18
49ers vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Jets vs. Saintsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Chargers vs. Cowboysbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+112.8%+$16.91
Bengals vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$161
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Vikings vs. Cowboysbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+194.1%+$110.65
Lions vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+42.9%+$17.14
Colts vs. Seahawksbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 15 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-56.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Rangers vs. Predatorsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Maple Leafs vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+51.5%+$20.61
All 3 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.