NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x709a7548ef736714586bab038389156efcd95752b959989bfe52dabbec5500fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb01…7013backed Lakers | 8c | 5,600$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…70a0backed Lakers | 66c | 394.2$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -5.5wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8017…3366backed Lakers | 72c | 322.58$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.76 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2286…3ccfbacked Spurs | 25c | 264.19$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.14 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Lakers | 66c | 224$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.24 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c60…27f5backed Lakers | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs | 37c | 199.93$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.38 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecd…9df4backed Lakers | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Spurs | 35c | 149.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.49 | 262 | 33.6%88 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Lakers | 65c | 148$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Spurs | 33c | 122.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Lakers | 66c | 116$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.56 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Spurs | 18c | 105.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.88 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Lakers | 65c | 102$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Spurs | 37c | 93.09$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 473 | 59.2%280 W · 193 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Lakers | 65c | 91$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.15 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadee…7719backed Lakers | 67c | 88.34$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Lakers | 65c | 86$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Lakers | 65c | 85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Spurs | 34c | 76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…14d9backed Spurs | 36c | 71.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Lakers | 67c | 70$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Lakers | 64c | 70$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked Spurs | 35c | 70$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Lakers | 65c | 63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Spurs | 80c | 62.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 236 | 52.5%124 W · 112 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Spurs | 33c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5f…b0ebbacked Lakers | 65c | 59.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Lakers | 66c | 54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Lakers | 66c | 53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d96…a9d9backed Lakers | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Lakers | 66c | 52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Lakers | 68c | 51.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 710 | 44.6%317 W · 393 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Spurs | 35c | 48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Lakers | 63c | 48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed Spurs | 35c | 46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Lakers | 66c | 46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Lakers | 66c | 45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Lakers | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…81acbacked Spurs | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Spurs | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed Spurs | 36c | 39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Spurs | 35c | 38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Spurs | 34c | 38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Spurs | 34c | 37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Spurs | 35c | 35.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Lakers | 66c | 34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Spurs | 34c | 34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…6b2dbacked Spurs | 34c | 32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked Spurs | 35c | 32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Spurs | 35c | 32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Lakers | 66c | 32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…bc56backed Spurs | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Lakers | 65c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Lakers | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 284 | 54.6%155 W · 129 L | -17.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Lakers | 66c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Lakers | 66c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Lakers | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Lakers | 61c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Lakers (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. LakersSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 124.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 125.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 241.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 242.5Over won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points Over 20.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.