TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Lakers (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Lakers, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$183,295
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$183,531

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,295 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x68dd…f0b2backed Spurs48c40,000$19,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,799.9951350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Lakers53c30,000$16,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,999.7566853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6576…6cc5backed Spurs54c25,000$13,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,5002450%12 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f79…fefbbacked Lakers46c25,000$11,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,500540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Spurs47c19,999$9,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,659.061,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Lakers51c19,233$9,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,793.372,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Spurs47c17,224$8,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,128.7215443.5%67 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Lakers53c16,969$8,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,927.9937557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Lakers49c11,218$5,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,522.882,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Lakers52c10,485$5,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,452.21,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Lakers54c10,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,4001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Spurs48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb351…5fbfbacked Lakers46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3003043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Spurs54c4,983$2,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,292.181,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Spurs46c4,695$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,535.1136351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Spurs50c4,228$2,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,108.5614356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Spurs46c3,252$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,751.6224847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Lakers53c2,266$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.982,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64a2…4a7ebacked Spurs47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.66560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+55.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Spurs47c2,043$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.4436741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Lakers49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Spurs48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04051753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed Spurs60c1,741$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.4221055.2%116 W · 94 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lakers11c1,435$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.078,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Spurs51c1,313$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.459,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Lakers53c1,211$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.8344648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Spurs48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.6765649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8839…8a3ebacked Spurs54c865.74$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.247433.8%25 W · 49 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Lakers52c800$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41984150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Lakers16c762.99$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.8435352.4%185 W · 168 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Lakers50c727.04$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.522,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Lakers53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31828751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Spurs50c509.98$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.2728537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Spurs54c400$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1831,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Spurs48c395$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.449938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x55c4…0121backed Spurs48c383.33$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.333271.9%23 W · 9 L+5.2wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Lakers53c377.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.140346.2%186 W · 217 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Spurs47c373.86$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee60…71d1backed Lakers54c370.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Spurs47c361.93$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.4433743.6%147 W · 190 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Lakers53c310.7$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.6762347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Spurs46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1621,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21b4…e064backed Lakers53c277.15$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.8911946.2%55 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Spurs51c257.25$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.373,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Spurs50c238.7$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.393,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb51…733cbacked Spurs48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3311542.6%49 W · 66 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Spurs50c201$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.562541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x50ed…cbbebacked Spurs47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1061650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd622…8b56backed Spurs55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908339.8%33 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Spurs48c196.54$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.21,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a5…4024backed Lakers53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Lakers53c187.21$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.152,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7180…bdbabacked Lakers54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015657.7%90 W · 66 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Lakers54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027161.3%166 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c6…72a8backed Lakers53c141.51$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759243.5%40 W · 52 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x25a8…c498backed Spurs48c127.08$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f56…f93cbacked Spurs47c123.25$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.094647.8%22 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0499…c2a1backed Spurs48c114.58$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Lakers21c112.51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0118554.1%100 W · 85 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Spurs53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4751651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d3…e601backed Spurs48c98.9$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4313550.4%68 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d55…3ea8backed Lakers48c93.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.115437%20 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bc3…90e2backed Lakers47c92$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.24425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick54cpaid-52.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67c3…5cc8backed Spurs55c90.93$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9311155%61 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cdb…7a7abacked Lakers52c90$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.85844.8%26 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa351…17c3backed Spurs55c82$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.91540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed Spurs55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Spurs47c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.452242.7%223 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36f4…4dafbacked Spurs48c77.08$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.083562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb82d…5d1ebacked Spurs47c69$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.579446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Spurs47c63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.399560%57 W · 38 L+10.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6132…7665backed Spurs47c63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.393658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7011…0710backed Lakers54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb83d…140fbacked Spurs54c52.32$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.07850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacd8…b9f6backed Spurs55c49.09$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.094045%18 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f5f…2348backed Lakers53c49.06$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262937.9%11 W · 18 L-5.4wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-29.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdd06…cb1cbacked Spurs46c47.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.921145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x110d…cd01backed Lakers54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2534556.2%194 W · 151 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc880…a622backed Spurs47c46$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.387441.9%31 W · 43 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Spurs60c45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1873649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb14f…dd7dbacked Spurs50c44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+60.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e4e…dc93backed Lakers46c39.35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.15248.1%25 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Lakers49c39.22$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.222,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x075a…8d34backed Spurs51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2212858.6%75 W · 53 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f1…6349backed Lakers54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017350.9%88 W · 85 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdeaa…80cdbacked Lakers53c37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.611723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.8wins-0.28per pick52cpaid-56.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x42bb…2138backed Lakers45c35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.751747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Lakers39c33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.851,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e6…1dccbacked Spurs48c30.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0627034.8%94 W · 176 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Spurs73c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.163745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Lakers52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.663555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58b7…103cbacked Spurs51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.852458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe11a…d47ebacked Lakers53c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.374242.9%18 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9786…b15cbacked Spurs55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.277652.6%40 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68e0…a3a6backed Spurs47c27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.315650%28 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbba…e95bbacked Lakers53c26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.783641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Spurs47c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.721,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb385…c1a4backed Lakers45c23$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.352334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-30.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5351…a045backed Spurs47c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.192661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs47c21.59$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.446,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.