TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc9c6…72a8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
136
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NFL, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 62 out of 100; worst Lol at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT9243.5%40 W · 52 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 92 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Pistons vs. Sunsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$109.9
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+78.6%+$62.86
Kings vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+61.3%+$26.35
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+163.8%+$106.5
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$88
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+72.4%+$78.93
Suns vs. Pistonsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+104.1%+$83.27
Nets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+112.8%+$84.57
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Jazz vs. Cavaliersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+156.4%+$103.23
Hawks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Nets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$26.07
Nuggets vs. Cavaliersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$19.78
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Warriors vs. Bullsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+100%+$120
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+92.3%+$69.23
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+78.6%+$102.14
Lakers vs. Celticsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Showing 25 of 92 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Dota 2: Kukuys vs Team Nemesis (BO3)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+68.7%+$44.63
Dota 2: Kukuys vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Dota 2: 1win vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$118
Dota 2: OG vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+124.7%+$162.17
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Tidebound (BO1)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+59%+$38.33
Dota 2: Heroic vs Execration (BO1)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+58.9%+$35.35
Dota 2: OG vs Team Tidebound (BO1)backed Team Tidebound · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+75.4%+$37.72
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Execration (BO1)backed Team Tidebound · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+63.9%+$41.52
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$95
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.1wins+0.32per pick53cpaid+72.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+143.9%+$107.93
Cardinals vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+35.2%+$9.14
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+100%+$75
Bengals vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+63.9%+$44.75
LAR vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+127.3%+$110.72
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Eagles vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+212.5%+$85
Panthers vs. Falconsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+177.8%+$88.89
Texans vs. Titansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+61.3%+$42.9
Packers vs. Giantsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Jaguars vs. Raidersbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+70.8%+$53.83
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Bears vs. Bengalsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+69.5%+$62.54
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-54%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN Freecs vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$39
LoL: MVK Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+87.1%+$21.77
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming (BO1)backed SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$51
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO1)backed LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$65
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX (BO1)backed Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$55
LoL: Deer Gaming vs Bulldog Esports (BO1)backed Deer Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$59
LoL: NextGeneration Esports vs Baam Esports (BO3)backed NextGeneration Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$19.16
LoL: NextGeneration Esports vs Baam Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked NextGeneration Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+127.3%+$127.27
All 9 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 4.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$47
UFC 322: Edwards vs. Prates (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+66.7%+$33.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+141.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+141.1%+$141.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$524Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$446.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AHL: Manitoba Moose vs. Laval Rocketbacked Laval Rocket · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.