TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Cardinals vs. Rams

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ramsof Cardinals, Rams
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$755,048
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$731,662

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $755,048 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa49b…4c40backed Cardinals8c100,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,00010333%34 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Cardinals17c48,641$8,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,368.9330043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Cardinals15c27,050$4,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,075.1121254.2%115 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Cardinals8c23,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7604544.4%20 W · 25 L+6.4wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+37.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Cardinals0c21,461$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.11980%0 W · 98 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Cardinals10c20,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-64.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cardinals12c19,831$2,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,383.91,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Rams80c17,586$14,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,517.531866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Cardinals13c16,668$2,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,166.845143.1%22 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Rams78c16,230$12,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,517.3427454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Cardinals11c13,174$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.949447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cardinals8c12,336$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.9183147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Cardinals4c11,493$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46014837.2%55 W · 93 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Cardinals9c10,671$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.422450%112 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cardinals13c10,496$1,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,405.3439447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Cardinals23c10,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.963253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Rams75c8,773$6,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,161.573070%21 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick67cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Cardinals8c7,796$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.7723244.4%103 W · 129 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Cardinals28c7,767$2,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,161.753348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Cardinals9c7,565$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.854362.8%27 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x24e4…309ebacked Cardinals11c6,119$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Cardinals8c5,450$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4361250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Cardinals20c5,212$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.312744.9%57 W · 70 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Cardinals6c5,113$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.663633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf70…5e92backed Rams77c5,000$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1501353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+45.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cardinals11c4,942$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.7516045%72 W · 88 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Cardinals0c4,465$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.534311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Rams79c4,306$3,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.7811643.1%50 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Cardinals12c4,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48028447.5%135 W · 149 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Rams77c4,000$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9202152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Cardinals9c3,908$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.842821.4%6 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Cardinals38c3,837$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.283138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Cardinals8c3,787$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.9610650.9%54 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Cardinals22c3,645$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.6312445.2%56 W · 68 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Cardinals15c3,538$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.098737.9%33 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cardinals15c3,460$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.591,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ecb…a693backed Cardinals0c3,045$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6840%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Cardinals9c3,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27022446.4%104 W · 120 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c69…7c46backed Cardinals6c2,868$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.162536%9 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Cardinals16c2,400$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3844647.8%22 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x28b9…9719backed Cardinals12c2,316$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.21618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cardinals12c2,233$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.1650242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Cardinals14c2,233$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3105143.1%22 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf00b…517cbacked Cardinals9c2,231$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.73633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2107…8f4cbacked Cardinals6c2,224$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.482369.6%16 W · 7 L+5.2wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+53.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1100…fc9dbacked Cardinals6c2,222$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b5f…1ae6backed Rams67c2,204$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.914341.9%18 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Cardinals10c2,083$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007041.4%29 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed Cardinals12c2,036$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Cardinals17c2,006$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.015547.3%26 W · 29 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Rams59c2,000$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.3121227.8%59 W · 153 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Cardinals8c2,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Cardinals9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Cardinals10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002030%6 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Cardinals20c1,816$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.6514532.4%47 W · 98 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+77.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Cardinals9c1,580$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.27530.7%23 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3214…63d6backed Rams65c1,502$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.038736.8%32 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Cardinals9c1,500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1357050%35 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Cardinals16c1,380$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Cardinals22c1,355$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001816.7%3 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-48.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x56be…57eebacked Cardinals36c1,248$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Cardinals9c1,221$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8911254.5%61 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Cardinals20c1,200$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24027633.3%92 W · 184 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Cardinals1c1,174$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.651486.8%10 W · 138 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+296.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Cardinals21c1,173$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.3319152.9%101 W · 90 L+0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Cardinals13c1,169$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb43…9d70backed Cardinals9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011744.4%52 W · 65 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98a3…d61ebacked Cardinals18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012152.1%63 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Cardinals20c1,049$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.836240.3%25 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Cardinals31c1,048$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.9547348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked Cardinals21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.053342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Cardinals9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904146.3%19 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Cardinals10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004443.2%19 W · 25 L+6.0wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+30.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8bca…d32cbacked Cardinals10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002646.2%12 W · 14 L+4.6wins+0.18per pick28cpaid+41%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8ae8…3ee1backed Cardinals12c971.61$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked Cardinals15c958.59$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.43946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d30…fad8backed Cardinals11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf5…6638backed Cardinals11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011637.9%44 W · 72 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e1d…2751backed Cardinals11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Cardinals23c899.97$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.9965048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2935…96f7backed Cardinals21c878.96$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.971631.3%5 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick18cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Cardinals17c877$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.977435.1%26 W · 48 L+7.3wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+57.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2862…b2ddbacked Cardinals5c828$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.48325.3%21 W · 62 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals25c825.66$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.5460049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57ba…2481backed Cardinals19c800$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Cardinals8c794.1$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.881444.9%7 W · 137 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-71.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c2f…3794backed Cardinals13c771.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008128.4%23 W · 58 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Cardinals10c768.4$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.841947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f6d…b4c7backed Rams77c725.04$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.121233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Cardinals17c690$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.319551.3%100 W · 95 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe44b…99fbbacked Cardinals12c687.11$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.758132.1%26 W · 55 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Cardinals25c632$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.878345.8%38 W · 45 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9e7…0febbacked Cardinals13c626.81$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.58742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-40.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Cardinals16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Cardinals16c600$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963050%15 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked Cardinals10c600$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605339.6%21 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26dc…95c4backed Cardinals23c600$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1381520%3 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Cardinals15c598.94$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4529439.5%116 W · 178 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Cardinals16c589.64$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.136738.8%26 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe756…e006backed Cardinals18c555.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002441.7%10 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.18per pick24cpaid+73.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.