NFL · resolved market
Spread: Rams (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85ee32a3d85b4a7767c0ce09e500d112253af6075cb54757b8b1d818bb9ad470
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ramsof Rams, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Cardinals | 53c | 40,000$21,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,199.99 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Rams | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +12.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Rams | 47c | 9,000$4,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,730 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cardinals | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,159.99 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Rams | 48c | 6,750$3,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,543.2 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Rams | 47c | 6,525$3,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,458.4 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rams | 48c | 6,262$2,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,281.65 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60f0…1a38backed Rams | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Rams | 48c | 4,100$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cardinals | 52c | 3,946$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.71 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rams | 47c | 3,898$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.73 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Cardinals | 52c | 2,654$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.08 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Cardinals | 13c | 1,654$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.32 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Rams | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Cardinals | 8c | 1,053$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.28 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed Rams | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Cardinals | 13c | 950$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Rams | 47c | 815.28$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.1 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Cardinals | 21c | 714$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | +13.9wins | +0.13per pick | 10cpaid | +428.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…5e8dbacked Cardinals | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Cardinals | 51c | 424.49$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.49 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Rams | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Rams | 47c | 404.26$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.26 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Cardinals | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 54 | 9.3%5 W · 49 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8021…0da8backed Rams | 49c | 367.41$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.38 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Rams | 39c | 312.03$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.09 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Cardinals | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rams | 45c | 175.01$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.25 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked Rams | 46c | 149.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Cardinals | 51c | 133$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.83 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Rams | 48c | 127$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.04 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…3cbcbacked Cardinals | 53c | 124.53$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Rams | 46c | 109.42$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Rams | 47c | 106$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8398…749abacked Cardinals | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…cfe5backed Rams | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Cardinals | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x875e…157bbacked Cardinals | 52c | 95.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99af…fedcbacked Cardinals | 54c | 92.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Rams | 28c | 90$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +10.7wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9d…527bbacked Cardinals | 53c | 85.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397d…794fbacked Cardinals | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Cardinals | 54c | 83.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Rams | 46c | 64.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Cardinals | 52c | 41.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rams | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8d…4dc6backed Cardinals | 52c | 39.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Rams | 49c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99ab…d706backed Cardinals | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Rams | 49c | 24.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…39d7backed Rams | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08b1…e667backed Rams | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…0f0ebacked Cardinals | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rams (-14.5)this page
- Cardinals vs. RamsRams won
- Cardinals vs. Rams: 1H O/U 25.5Under won
- Cardinals vs. Rams: O/U 45.5Over won
- Cardinals vs. Rams: O/U 46.5Over won
- Cardinals vs. Rams: O/U 47.5Over won
- Cardinals vs. Rams: O/U 48.5Over won
- Cardinals vs. Rams: O/U 49.5Over won
- Spread: Rams (-10.5)Rams won
- Spread: Rams (-13.5)Rams won
- Spread: Rams (-4.5)Rams won
- Spread: Rams (-7.5)Rams won
- Spread: Rams (-8.5)Rams won
- Spread: Rams (-9.5)Rams won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.