NFL · resolved market
Spread: Rams (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaabc140bf05af850fe24a85d28c50a315b7173f9ce4386d0b752dc1151791037
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ramsof Rams, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Rams | 58c | 29,349$16,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,432.98 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cardinals | 42c | 10,151$4,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,302.03 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cardinals | 42c | 9,096$3,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,858.96 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cardinals | 42c | 5,947$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.12 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Cardinals | 45c | 2,600$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.99 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Cardinals | 43c | 1,751$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.93 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Cardinals | 28c | 1,587$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.7 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Rams | 57c | 1,298$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.13 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Cardinals | 43c | 1,200$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.98 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cardinals | 41c | 1,129$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.71 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cardinals | 45c | 1,046$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.25 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cardinals | 42c | 990.25$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.66 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Rams | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a09…3c83backed Rams | 71c | 812.56$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.56 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Rams | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Rams | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58a0…2b5bbacked Cardinals | 32c | 540.71$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Cardinals | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cardinals | 46c | 388$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.48 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Rams | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Cardinals | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ac…ef52backed Rams | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Rams | 58c | 281.02$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.03 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Cardinals | 27c | 250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Rams | 65c | 218.57$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Rams | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cardinals | 46c | 188.5$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.71 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53b0…4daabacked Rams | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Rams | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Rams | 51c | 152.7$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.82 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5912…2fe0backed Rams | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Rams | 64c | 116$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 80c | 105$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.95 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Cardinals | 24c | 102.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Cardinals | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed Rams | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 141 | 58.9%83 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked Cardinals | 44c | 98.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…dffcbacked Rams | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Rams | 74c | 85.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 342 | 47.4%162 W · 180 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Rams | 59c | 73.37$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bd…2bf8backed Rams | 58c | 64.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5c00backed Rams | 73c | 60.07$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30cf…7a72backed Rams | 73c | 50.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe6…2f03backed Rams | 58c | 49.83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc68…c62fbacked Rams | 58c | 49.83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1725…7405backed Cardinals | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…f88ebacked Rams | 69c | 43.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked Rams | 70c | 42.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rams | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Rams | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ada…b8a0backed Rams | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Rams | 58c | 39.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Cardinals | 32c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Cardinals | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…0faabacked Rams | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e08…15ebbacked Rams | 72c | 36.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +6.1wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +51%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fc…5d5bbacked Rams | 55c | 35.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3f…7fecbacked Rams | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…846cbacked Rams | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…0cfebacked Rams | 58c | 33.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2705…cc8abacked Rams | 70c | 32.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…8d1bbacked Rams | 59c | 32.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…3f0abacked Rams | 58c | 29.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f6…f838backed Rams | 59c | 28.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed57…e0a0backed Rams | 59c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd44…2a19backed Rams | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f60…f897backed Rams | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30b5…5f24backed Rams | 73c | 26.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed Rams | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aff…821abacked Rams | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +140.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rams (-7.5)this page
- Cardinals vs. RamsRams won
- Cardinals vs. Rams: 1H O/U 25.5Under won
- Cardinals vs. Rams: O/U 45.5Over won
- Cardinals vs. Rams: O/U 46.5Over won
- Cardinals vs. Rams: O/U 47.5Over won
- Cardinals vs. Rams: O/U 48.5Over won
- Cardinals vs. Rams: O/U 49.5Over won
- Spread: Rams (-10.5)Rams won
- Spread: Rams (-13.5)Rams won
- Spread: Rams (-14.5)Rams won
- Spread: Rams (-4.5)Rams won
- Spread: Rams (-8.5)Rams won
- Spread: Rams (-9.5)Rams won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.