Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Kukuys vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fa6c580982003766259e803a4f0ab9216edfd1cc4829c53b374a6269717b81f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kukuysof Kukuys, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,877
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,877 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe9b…1220backed Kukuys | 45c | 3,773$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Nemesis | 51c | 3,608$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.67 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc73…d420backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 2,908$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Kukuys | 42c | 2,530$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.61 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…27fabacked Team Nemesis | 2c | 2,400$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 5cpaid | +100%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d0f…e601backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 2,022$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…3f30backed Team Nemesis | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Team Nemesis | 1c | 1,500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 61 | 3.3%2 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -61%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kukuys | 37c | 1,291$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.3 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782a…bca2backed Kukuys | 45c | 1,157$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Team Nemesis | 68c | 1,086$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.51 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Team Nemesis | 5c | 829.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Kukuys | 31c | 746.97$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.41 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Team Nemesis | 78c | 719.53$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.33 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Team Nemesis | 6c | 666.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked Team Nemesis | 59c | 650.23$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.03 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Team Nemesis | 3c | 600$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 87 | 9.2%8 W · 79 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…f3b0backed Team Nemesis | 24c | 478.39$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.78 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…d2b3backed Team Nemesis | 69c | 431.92$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.71 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Kukuys | 66c | 348.24$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.97 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kukuys | 28c | 322.38$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.99 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Kukuys | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Team Nemesis | 36c | 206.77$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe15…80b5backed Kukuys | 78c | 200$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Kukuys | 67c | 198.2$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.05 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Kukuys | 60c | 136.18$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.63 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c6…72a8backed Team Nemesis | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked Team Nemesis | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Team Nemesis | 54c | 91.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.32 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10e4…4113backed Team Nemesis | 63c | 88.54$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.78 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9501…a052backed Kukuys | 48c | 70.42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kukuys | 52c | 56.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8478…4355backed Kukuys | 34c | 44.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f98…d18bbacked Team Nemesis | 26c | 39.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x390c…e88ebacked Team Nemesis | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Kukuys | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked Team Nemesis | 78c | 25.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Kukuys | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Kukuys | 47c | 24.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Team Nemesis | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe5…bbb4backed Team Nemesis | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Nemesis | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Kukuys vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Kukuys vs Team Nemesis (BO3)Team Nemesis won
- Dota 2: Kukuys vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.