Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Kukuys vs Team Nemesis (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c06e8cf925d403e8179b2611a7209afc2af85a88c5bbf98d7473ed10e4daaf7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Kukuys, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,270
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,270 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Nemesis | 58c | 11,200$6,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,658.29 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Kukuys | 41c | 7,916$3,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,238.55 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 5,582$3,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490.83 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2219…a5e9backed Kukuys | 2c | 4,700$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Team Nemesis | 69c | 4,324$2,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.36 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fb…1425backed Kukuys | 35c | 2,663$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.22 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kukuys | 40c | 2,281$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.88 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Nemesis | 63c | 2,149$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.28 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x675b…1b5dbacked Kukuys | 44c | 2,033$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f08…5154backed Team Nemesis | 56c | 1,816$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…600bbacked Kukuys | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Kukuys | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Team Nemesis | 76c | 1,311$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.7 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b97…3f54backed Kukuys | 9c | 1,175$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -59%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kukuys | 41c | 1,170$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.82 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd6…84cdbacked Kukuys | 7c | 1,160$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Kukuys | 36c | 1,134$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Kukuys | 44c | 1,106$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.6 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…7e9ebacked Team Nemesis | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Kukuys | 45c | 1,100$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.99 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Kukuys | 45c | 1,089$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.41 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Kukuys | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Team Nemesis | 66c | 998.79$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.59 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Kukuys | 42c | 929.6$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.71 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Team Nemesis | 53c | 922.77$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.7 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…bf29backed Team Nemesis | 57c | 899.99$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Kukuys | 47c | 845.42$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.31 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…0cd8backed Team Nemesis | 71c | 834.28$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Team Nemesis | 60c | 703.83$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.53 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Kukuys | 42c | 635$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.2 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…6078backed Team Nemesis | 57c | 620.42$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.78 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Team Nemesis | 78c | 600$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…d2b3backed Kukuys | 29c | 589.48$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.18 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kukuys | 43c | 558.71$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.59 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Kukuys | 48c | 526.79$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 491.39$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.04 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Kukuys | 45c | 490.03$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.09 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9501…a052backed Kukuys | 44c | 433.47$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.9 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb44d…723fbacked Kukuys | 47c | 424.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…df4ebacked Kukuys | 48c | 391.85$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 225 | 38.7%87 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…3f30backed Kukuys | 6c | 389.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…9719backed Kukuys | 43c | 385.62$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 354.55$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.55 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Kukuys | 43c | 337.65$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.12 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Kukuys | 48c | 337.16$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.83 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Team Nemesis | 56c | 288.62$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.05 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Team Nemesis | 61c | 282.21$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Nemesis | 47c | 280.87$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.91 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…f3b0backed Kukuys | 36c | 277.53$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.71 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Nemesis | 71c | 259.55$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.27 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…e051backed Kukuys | 9c | 250$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Kukuys | 46c | 226.85$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.53 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Kukuys | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked Kukuys | 44c | 220$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…124cbacked Team Nemesis | 56c | 217.27$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Nemesis | 57c | 212.88$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.54 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Team Nemesis | 57c | 205.37$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.31 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Team Nemesis | 59c | 202.75$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.38 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Team Nemesis | 56c | 202.35$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.98 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Team Nemesis | 63c | 201.78$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 65cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Kukuys | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Kukuys | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked Kukuys | 50c | 195.22$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.73 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Kukuys | 41c | 191.34$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.18 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd7…215ebacked Team Nemesis | 58c | 190.84$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Team Nemesis | 59c | 169.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.12 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Team Nemesis | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 66cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…85b5backed Kukuys | 44c | 143.61$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Kukuys | 40c | 140$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Team Nemesis | 53c | 132.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.07 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…e23bbacked Kukuys | 31c | 129.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe5…bbb4backed Kukuys | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5244…83bcbacked Kukuys | 40c | 112.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c88…d85dbacked Kukuys | 47c | 111.17$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c6…72a8backed Team Nemesis | 59c | 109.63$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.63 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Kukuys | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e4…4113backed Team Nemesis | 58c | 104.83$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.83 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6529…ab39backed Kukuys | 43c | 101.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Kukuys | 30c | 101.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2111…b4eebacked Kukuys | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…a5bebacked Team Nemesis | 52c | 94.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Team Nemesis | 57c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Kukuys | 29c | 90$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 170 | 23.5%40 W · 130 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Team Nemesis | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kukuys | 43c | 85.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Kukuys | 37c | 80.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1e…2f5abacked Team Nemesis | 75c | 78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +116.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 78$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…f692backed Kukuys | 25c | 78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 77.78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Kukuys | 16c | 75.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Team Nemesis | 57c | 70.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…6f16backed Team Nemesis | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked Team Nemesis | 61c | 65.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Team Nemesis | 62c | 64.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe7…1311backed Team Nemesis | 58c | 59.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Kukuys | 22c | 59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8478…4355backed Team Nemesis | 60c | 58.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f5…44c3backed Kukuys | 20c | 56.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed1…efcbbacked Team Nemesis | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Kukuys vs Team Nemesis (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Kukuys vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Dota 2: Kukuys vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 WinnerKukuys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.