TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0ed1…efcb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
112
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT3262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80.25
Lakers vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 115.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+72.4%+$114.41
Rockets vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 107.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+78.6%+$157.69
Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+69.2%+$10.81
Hawks vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 122.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+81.1%+$121.34
Cavaliers vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 114.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$131.92
Lakers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 117.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+92.3%+$60.92
Raptors vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 109.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+81.8%+$57.89
Timberwolves vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 116.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+85.2%+$63.55
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$12.72
Mavericks vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+96.1%+$15.47
Jazz vs. Spurs: O/U 240.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$24.99
Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+79.8%+$12.04
Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$14.33
Raptors vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 108.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+66.7%+$12.56
Nets vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+69.5%+$7.73
Hornets vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 111.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Clippers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 103.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+83.6%+$83.64
Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+83%+$96.27
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+56.3%+$107.56
Bucks vs. Nuggets: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$36.48
Pelicans vs. Magic: 1H Moneylinebacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20.96
Pelicans vs. Magic: 1H O/U 120.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.31
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST2556%14 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$200.03
Flyers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12.22
Kings vs. Ducksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$88.98
Oilers vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+47.9%+$24.14
Bruins vs. Blackhawksbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+29.9%+$14.55
Maple Leafs vs. Jets: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Canadiens vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Wild vs. Sabresbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+96.1%+$55.73
Wild vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+72.4%+$149.9
Ducks vs. Kings: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+91.2%+$171.46
Lightning vs. Blues: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+70.4%+$48.58
Sharks vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+77.5%+$52.01
Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+69.5%+$104.52
Senators vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$56.25
Devils vs. Jets: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Kings vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$40.39
Canucks vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.3
Canucks vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.4%+$26.7
Lightning vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Rangers vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6.43
Blues vs. Utah: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Kings vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+58.7%+$8.81
Wild vs. Krakenbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
Maple Leafs vs. Flyersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+104.1%+$21.86
All 25 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST1844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bears win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$35.91
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bills vs. Broncos: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+112.8%+$56.44
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$44.82
Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+112.8%+$25.9
49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$52.74
49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$39.99
Spread: Eagles (-1.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$30
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+150%+$78.07
Spread: Bills (-3.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$32.42
Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+58.7%+$30.87
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+100%+$14
Spread: Rams (-14.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+59.7%+$15.52
Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+79.9%+$16.78
Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+96.1%+$12.49
All 18 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-3.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Play-In Group Bbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$200.14
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs BIG Academy (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+47.1%+$29.65
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs KOLESIE (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+47.1%+$47.15
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GenOne (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Play-In Group Dbacked FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+54.2%+$27.19
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs MINLATE (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #13 Group Cbacked ARCRED · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+59%+$44.83
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+28.2%+$40.35
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs ARCRED (BO3)backed FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+37%+$55.3
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-39.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-37.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.25
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6.43
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+63.9%+$63.71
Galatasaray SK vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+29.9%+$22.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-37.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$85.73
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+25.5%+$40.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Inner Circle (BO3)backed Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Dota 2: Kukuys vs Team Nemesis (BO3)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+75.4%+$22.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.96
UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Ding Meng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+35.1%+$35.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fordham Rams vs. St. Bonaventure Bonniesbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12.53
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.