CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Play-In Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x591e9fb083829b2762ad9f6ad4c87273e099a34a38190c173a740758d6964f8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FORZE Reloadof FORZE Reload, MASONIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0238…ba26backed MASONIC | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked FORZE Reload | 71c | 1,190$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.6 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FORZE Reload | 74c | 781.24$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.88 | 3,262 | 50.3%1,640 W · 1,622 L | +97.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed MASONIC | 8c | 749.67$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…e55abacked MASONIC | 24c | 616.95$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.51 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MASONIC | 35c | 485.95$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.94 | 5,911 | 37.7%2,228 W · 3,683 L | +74.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked MASONIC | 15c | 467.72$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…eba7backed MASONIC | 20c | 372.22$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9148…bec8backed MASONIC | 14c | 266.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed MASONIC | 26c | 229.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf66c…4fafbacked FORZE Reload | 65c | 199.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa13a…c8f6backed FORZE Reload | 61c | 177.13$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed MASONIC | 25c | 159.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed MASONIC | 32c | 157.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed FORZE Reload | 56c | 112$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.77 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed MASONIC | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f65…0075backed MASONIC | 28c | 99.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…5bc3backed FORZE Reload | 75c | 99.2$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed MASONIC | 30c | 97.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d0…ee5abacked MASONIC | 33c | 88.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -9.7wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked MASONIC | 29c | 85.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed1…efcbbacked FORZE Reload | 65c | 77.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed MASONIC | 22c | 59.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…4b60backed MASONIC | 38c | 53.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32a1…659bbacked MASONIC | 55c | 50.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked MASONIC | 28c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…6220backed MASONIC | 40c | 49.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…ab3ebacked MASONIC | 42c | 47.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FORZE Reload | 64c | 44.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 8,058 | 50.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L | +171.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf1…6eb1backed FORZE Reload | 72c | 43.42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed MASONIC | 67c | 43.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb186…a946backed FORZE Reload | 72c | 41.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked FORZE Reload | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 126 | 69%87 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed MASONIC | 44c | 40.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed FORZE Reload | 70c | 40.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed MASONIC | 28c | 38.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 978 | 40.7%398 W · 580 L | +12.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa207…3a51backed FORZE Reload | 51c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8476backed MASONIC | 35c | 33.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf76d…29d8backed FORZE Reload | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed MASONIC | 38c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xccc6…a5f1backed FORZE Reload | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd06…a25dbacked FORZE Reload | 72c | 27.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…a70dbacked FORZE Reload | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea5…4198backed FORZE Reload | 72c | 27.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed FORZE Reload | 47c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed FORZE Reload | 76c | 25.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf9…efa0backed MASONIC | 41c | 25.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FORZE Reload | 70c | 23.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 5,651 | 47.2%2,668 W · 2,983 L | +46.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed FORZE Reload | 66c | 23.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed FORZE Reload | 67c | 23.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x102d…ff61backed FORZE Reload | 63c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…9657backed FORZE Reload | 66c | 18.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d4…4b36backed FORZE Reload | 66c | 16.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed FORZE Reload | 71c | 15.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Play-In Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs MASONIC - Map 1 WinnerFORZE Reload won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.