CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs MASONIC - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4491043f65e034b82f298a5dfed63b5b1f1de66bd171ace355aa2cdc7539696b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FORZE Reloadof FORZE Reload, MASONIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FORZE Reload | 20c | 5,896$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,741.64 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked MASONIC | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed FORZE Reload | 79c | 516.13$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.1 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed FORZE Reload | 5c | 250$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.5 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…8149backed FORZE Reload | 39c | 192.03$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.03 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc67…b5ddbacked FORZE Reload | 42c | 177.96$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked FORZE Reload | 31c | 171.62$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.51 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed MASONIC | 9c | 161.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…d949backed FORZE Reload | 63c | 79.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8476backed FORZE Reload | 79c | 69.07$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x985b…ce2cbacked MASONIC | 49c | 63.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed FORZE Reload | 66c | 61.83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked FORZE Reload | 65c | 61.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed MASONIC | 32c | 51.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked FORZE Reload | 59c | 50.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed MASONIC | 36c | 49.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…8dcfbacked FORZE Reload | 52c | 44.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +10.2wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed MASONIC | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5618…be67backed FORZE Reload | 30c | 34.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed FORZE Reload | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…0f01backed MASONIC | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x610a…3528backed FORZE Reload | 70c | 28.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked FORZE Reload | 65c | 21.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4c…77bdbacked MASONIC | 60c | 17.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d0…ee5abacked MASONIC | 73c | 13.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -9.7wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs MASONIC - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Play-In Group DFORZE Reload won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.