TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9ef0…eba7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
170
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT8626.7%23 W · 63 L-10.8wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 86 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.77
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Mavericks vs. Rocketsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$98.6
Lakers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Hornets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Pistons vs. Sunsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Hornets vs. Grizzliesbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+81.8%+$22.5
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Pistons vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$27.9
Pelicans vs. Thunderbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Kings vs. Knicksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Trail Blazers vs. Celticsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Grizzlies vs. Rocketsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Lakers vs. Bullsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+49.3%+$36.94
Raptors vs. Thunderbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+400%+$120
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30.38
Kings vs. Pistonsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Showing 25 of 86 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST4040%16 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$41.6
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+177.4%+$88.72
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15.8
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$60.4
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$51.8
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$54.92
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+178.8%+$147.5
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$21.6
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+100%+$60
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs NIP (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+78.6%+$47.14
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+138.1%+$69.05
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+81.8%+$49.09
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50.8
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+127.3%+$50.91
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+170.3%+$157.5
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST2227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-31%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$40
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+376.2%+$78.99
LoL: Team Heretics vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: Shifters vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$192.51
LoL: SK Gaming vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+75.4%+$43
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+180.1%+$64.3
LoL: Team Heretics vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$45
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+61.3%+$15.2
LoL: Team Vitality vs Shifters (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+92.3%+$19.2
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$35.6
LoL: SK Gaming vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$24
LoL: Los Ratones vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$29.7
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$37
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$17
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO1)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$99.35
LoL: G2 Esports vs GIANTX (BO1)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$75.28
LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1)backed Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+132.6%+$57
All 22 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.6
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+95.5%+$57.31
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12.25
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+412.8%+$108.14
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$91.68
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$24.8
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+207.8%+$60.09
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$33.53
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$49.79
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+185.7%+$71.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+56.3%+$21.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+43.3%+$21.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.