TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs NIP (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BC.Game Esportsof BC.Game Esports, NIP
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$550,950
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$647,298

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $550,950 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 448 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked BC.Game Esports35c87,400$30,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,809.9239249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked BC.Game Esports35c58,906$20,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,289.1911146.8%52 W · 59 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2fe8…3549backed NIP65c40,000$26,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,00013954.7%76 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed BC.Game Esports34c39,952$13,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,368.467943%34 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked NIP65c28,865$18,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,762.2583652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked BC.Game Esports54c24,528$13,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,367.963,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed NIP65c21,534$13,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,996.8911758.1%68 W · 49 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed NIP65c14,432$9,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,381.1215347.1%72 W · 81 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked NIP42c13,421$5,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,654.453,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27c5…6d61backed BC.Game Esports32c12,396$3,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,396.916934.8%24 W · 45 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked NIP66c12,222$8,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,066.5226351.3%135 W · 128 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked NIP42c11,989$5,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,052.031,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked NIP33c10,571$3,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,468.432930.4%100 W · 229 L-21.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf69…9076backed NIP65c9,500$6,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,1751233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfadd…3955backed NIP49c9,183$4,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,541.78052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19f8…24f9backed NIP66c8,970$5,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,920.2650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea9b…2be5backed NIP1c8,610$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5411742.7%50 W · 67 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e62…ef0fbacked NIP38c8,607$3,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,260.52751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed NIP65c8,557$5,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,562.0535153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked NIP63c6,507$4,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,128.087736.4%28 W · 49 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked BC.Game Esports60c6,463$3,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,601.531,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed NIP52c6,371$3,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,284.742,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked NIP65c6,154$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00020539.5%81 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed BC.Game Esports39c6,111$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,710.0622448.7%109 W · 115 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed BC.Game Esports56c5,913$3,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,608.7512450%62 W · 62 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7e7cbacked NIP57c5,869$3,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,323.0821042.9%90 W · 120 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbea4…2effbacked NIP0c5,559$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.571618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-63.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed BC.Game Esports34c5,250$1,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,46555236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked NIP65c5,105$3,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,318.0717148%82 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed NIP66c5,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30072453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked NIP66c5,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3006555.4%36 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed BC.Game Esports60c4,886$2,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,976.6111547%54 W · 61 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7daf…0ec8backed NIP65c4,094$2,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,670.62055%11 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed NIP68c4,000$2,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,72057647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked BC.Game Esports55c3,888$2,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,741.7747738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b17…abcdbacked NIP26c3,792$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00050%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed BC.Game Esports51c3,653$1,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,783.2530335.6%108 W · 195 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed BC.Game Esports56c3,575$1,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,590.831,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked NIP50c3,541$1,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,758.0198052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed BC.Game Esports32c3,413$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,306.3497040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed BC.Game Esports73c3,386$2,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.8514441.7%60 W · 84 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed NIP66c3,333$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.7846949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb364…f1e3backed NIP48c3,164$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5301346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked NIP58c3,111$1,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8031,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fd9…3373backed NIP65c3,077$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0006752.2%35 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x002f…6a4ebacked NIP44c3,054$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.641735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-33.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed NIP67c3,000$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009.996147.5%29 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed BC.Game Esports34c3,000$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,994.9950833.5%170 W · 338 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2984…0fc6backed BC.Game Esports35c2,857$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,857.145756.1%32 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked BC.Game Esports51c2,739$1,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,342.2859839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed NIP64c2,725$1,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,742.751,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed NIP57c2,569$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.9417249.4%85 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb405…c706backed BC.Game Esports61c2,513$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.15366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x006c…d41cbacked NIP40c2,452$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2a3…9a3bbacked NIP40c2,435$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.117342.5%31 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed BC.Game Esports60c2,360$1,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.6846344.5%206 W · 257 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19ff…d0d0backed NIP49c2,330$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.49234.8%32 W · 60 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked BC.Game Esports60c2,299$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.0154346.2%251 W · 292 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed NIP69c2,276$1,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,570.3519660.7%119 W · 77 L-13.9wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-7.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c2…55c3backed BC.Game Esports67c2,205$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.797642.1%32 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed NIP3c2,074$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7827348.4%132 W · 141 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c9c…bcfcbacked NIP69c2,009$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.0915255.3%84 W · 68 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed BC.Game Esports60c2,000$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81075450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed NIP65c2,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30030340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked NIP45c1,723$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.077,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ee…456fbacked BC.Game Esports71c1,674$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.4912568.8%86 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cf4…5daabacked NIP65c1,636$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.591353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6395…d69dbacked BC.Game Esports34c1,567$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.2211241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked NIP66c1,545$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02027530.9%85 W · 190 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf38b…b601backed BC.Game Esports35c1,543$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.863636.1%13 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed NIP42c1,468$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.246432.8%21 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fb…95fbbacked NIP38c1,420$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.599353.8%50 W · 43 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5682…97afbacked BC.Game Esports61c1,324$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked BC.Game Esports61c1,300$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50725651.2%131 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed NIP65c1,272$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82724233.9%82 W · 160 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed BC.Game Esports80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.2758961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf09c…4d9abacked BC.Game Esports57c1,247$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.64666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed NIP34c1,224$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.31,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed NIP34c1,212$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.0928660.1%172 W · 114 L+17.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed BC.Game Esports35c1,203$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.7112027.5%33 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked BC.Game Esports65c1,197$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.011,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked BC.Game Esports35c1,169$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.5214744.2%65 W · 82 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed BC.Game Esports60c1,096$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.557935.4%28 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed BC.Game Esports31c1,065$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.6319643.4%85 W · 111 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed BC.Game Esports35c1,060$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.3315436.4%56 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed BC.Game Esports62c1,020$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.5538844.6%173 W · 215 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed NIP40c1,002$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.9846340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked NIP65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65010058%58 W · 42 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f81…5410backed NIP1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10254%1 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick1cpaid+300%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed NIP65c999.96$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.9818752.4%98 W · 89 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed BC.Game Esports63c976.57$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.7861837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc466…6201backed NIP67c935.13$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed BC.Game Esports47c915.86$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.284,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked NIP66c909.09$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60081751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed BC.Game Esports33c909.09$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.0920944%92 W · 117 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed NIP65c853.85$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55510947.7%52 W · 57 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5019…74cdbacked BC.Game Esports35c849.9$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.911630.2%35 W · 81 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3111backed NIP59c847.46$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked NIP20c843.03$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.2147147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed BC.Game Esports52c829.78$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.3469863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.