CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c34d0cd6954e581faff2f10d883be397a556a732ce5116fc5378c5d0d62117f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 56c | 8,726$4,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,880.51 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Over | 44c | 6,300$2,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,790 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3994…ff63backed Over | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f81…5410backed Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +300%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88e…08f3backed Over | 45c | 764$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.8 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf0…ad64backed Over | 45c | 754$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.3 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…ce61backed Over | 45c | 615.56$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8063…b962backed Under | 39c | 607.67$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.87 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Under | 49c | 490.2$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…8795backed Over | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Over | 60c | 455.57$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.34 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 55c | 410$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.42 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 57c | 377.42$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.8 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7178…8fb9backed Under | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…0cc9backed Over | 42c | 235.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…6373backed Over | 56c | 179.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 59c | 130$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.05 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 38c | 122.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 33c | 102.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 135 | 37.8%51 W · 84 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce6…030ebacked Under | 38c | 99.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 44c | 97.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x194e…1833backed Under | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 71.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Under | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed91…8ce8backed Over | 49c | 55.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Over | 43c | 52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Under | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 38c | 40.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Under | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…fe4bbacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5820…007bbacked Under | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…fad1backed Under | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…6bc8backed Over | 45c | 24.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Over | 45c | 23.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs NIP (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-InBC.Game Esports won
- Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs NIP - Map 1 WinnerBC.Game Esports won
- Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs NIP - Map 2 WinnerBC.Game Esports won
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5)BC.Game Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.