CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5eba975e8d6a6fdc0db13fd084e5a008786a83fc7870ddd1edd5fe75b91d81d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BC.Game Esportsof NIP, BC.Game Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3994…ff63backed NIP | 0c | 19,935$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed BC.Game Esports | 60c | 1,135$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed NIP | 40c | 1,092$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.67 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked NIP | 43c | 349.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 210 | 42.9%90 W · 120 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed BC.Game Esports | 55c | 228.18$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked BC.Game Esports | 59c | 119.55$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddf…1b96backed BC.Game Esports | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked BC.Game Esports | 58c | 56.19$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed NIP | 42c | 52.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fa…cecfbacked NIP | 41c | 42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5820…007bbacked NIP | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…fad1backed NIP | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe339…c8f3backed BC.Game Esports | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…fc19backed BC.Game Esports | 62c | 21.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs NIP (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-InBC.Game Esports won
- Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs NIP - Map 1 WinnerBC.Game Esports won
- Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs NIP - Map 2 WinnerBC.Game Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.