TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs NIP - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BC.Game Esportsof BC.Game Esports, NIP
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$193,261
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$224,922

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,261 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked BC.Game Esports49c20,444$9,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,462.193,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed NIP64c16,256$10,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,403.5910551.4%54 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked NIP52c15,997$8,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,253.293,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked NIP57c13,733$7,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,880.9683652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked NIP51c9,898$5,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,015.71,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked BC.Game Esports38c8,358$3,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,181.8533457.8%193 W · 141 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked BC.Game Esports38c7,735$2,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,796.91,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed NIP53c7,505$4,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,007.622,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed BC.Game Esports36c5,972$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,822.2211940.3%48 W · 71 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e62…ef0fbacked NIP66c5,281$3,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,504.032751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…c3a9backed NIP61c5,260$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2003652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfadd…3955backed NIP51c5,249$2,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,684.968052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed NIP56c4,966$2,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,785.521,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb04b…e2d4backed BC.Game Esports40c4,587$1,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,751.912752%66 W · 61 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed NIP63c4,509$2,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,841.0846149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked BC.Game Esports47c3,989$1,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,115.5447738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked BC.Game Esports51c3,765$1,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,859.6376058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked BC.Game Esports50c3,733$1,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,857.4659839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked BC.Game Esports49c3,599$1,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,837.181,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed NIP60c3,559$2,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,135.419455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed BC.Game Esports46c3,505$1,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,896.251,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea9b…2be5backed NIP1c3,289$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7711742.7%50 W · 67 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf84e…6cbebacked BC.Game Esports32c3,160$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,155.444650%23 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c9…b8bbbacked BC.Game Esports34c2,709$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,787.941947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked BC.Game Esports36c2,360$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.2128644.1%126 W · 160 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed BC.Game Esports36c1,777$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.2855043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x002f…6a4ebacked BC.Game Esports48c1,766$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.841735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-33.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked NIP61c1,650$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.535242.9%151 W · 201 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8b0…2aaebacked BC.Game Esports36c1,519$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.355451.9%28 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked BC.Game Esports36c1,389$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.8965650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed NIP14c1,381$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.2357322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed NIP65c1,300$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.9944648.4%216 W · 230 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed BC.Game Esports40c1,292$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.294,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb6d…942cbacked BC.Game Esports32c1,179$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.6911452.6%60 W · 54 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed BC.Game Esports36c1,121$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.8434156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67c4…f0a4backed BC.Game Esports36c1,110$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.1713937.4%52 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1b0…5e03backed NIP62c1,029$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6383234.4%11 W · 21 L-6.5wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-40.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x8f81…5410backed NIP1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10254%1 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick1cpaid+300%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked BC.Game Esports36c988$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.3234147.5%162 W · 179 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed NIP59c925.01$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.8626549.1%130 W · 135 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2627…13b4backed NIP76c916.89$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.84728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-53.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7e7cbacked NIP66c907.61$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.8621042.9%90 W · 120 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0588…8f18backed BC.Game Esports30c904.7$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.293330.3%10 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked NIP46c902.25$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.957,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x07d4…045fbacked BC.Game Esports46c876.26$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.264148.8%20 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76d3…7034backed BC.Game Esports51c819.84$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.725352.8%28 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed NIP62c815.54$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50324233.9%82 W · 160 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed NIP75c800$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60038868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed BC.Game Esports35c780$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50797040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked NIP64c667$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.555961%36 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed BC.Game Esports25c666.66$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5005,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8c4…bb5dbacked BC.Game Esports35c637.14$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.144143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked BC.Game Esports35c578.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.7117850%89 W · 89 L-0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed NIP14c500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed NIP60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017538.3%67 W · 108 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b0…f139backed BC.Game Esports30c499.98$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.996651.5%34 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed BC.Game Esports36c488.5$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.6475450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed NIP61c449.96$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.9860848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed NIP68c439.89$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015162.3%94 W · 57 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed NIP64c428.63$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.9537445.7%171 W · 203 L-29.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed BC.Game Esports35c398.56$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.5929128.5%83 W · 208 L-30.2wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-38.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa2f9…cfd8backed BC.Game Esports37c386.49$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.496643.9%29 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed NIP65c381$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.6546949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cf4…b11abacked BC.Game Esports50c357.6$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.94961.2%30 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed NIP53c352.19$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.625841.4%24 W · 34 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed NIP64c349.99$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22476546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed NIP41c338.33$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.6115743.3%68 W · 89 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked BC.Game Esports52c331$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.762,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked NIP41c318.78$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.732548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed NIP65c300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19520462.7%128 W · 76 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed NIP62c300$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18658651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f9b…bc2fbacked NIP67c296.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007564%48 W · 27 L-0.3wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ae…c89abacked NIP73c292.56$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.572161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed BC.Game Esports48c270.94$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.9422365%145 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ad7…c097backed BC.Game Esports38c264.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.79250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed NIP54c262.19$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.4819342%81 W · 112 L-12.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7aca…b6dcbacked BC.Game Esports39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.411464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.22per pick43cpaid+45%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed BC.Game Esports40c218.58$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.1144743.8%196 W · 251 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed BC.Game Esports35c216.81$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.8138452.3%201 W · 183 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5114…8346backed BC.Game Esports48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.332653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa60a…1613backed NIP70c205.69$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.982853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x444e…1a78backed NIP65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1304042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed BC.Game Esports30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1408416.7%14 W · 70 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-38.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9679…8e0dbacked BC.Game Esports30c193.82$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.714425%11 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked NIP66c187.12$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12322550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed BC.Game Esports40c176.82$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.791,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7843…eb6cbacked BC.Game Esports57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed BC.Game Esports45c174.95$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9815738.2%60 W · 97 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xada4…c344backed NIP58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006758.2%39 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked NIP61c171.85$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8315749%77 W · 80 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1be…a7f6backed BC.Game Esports36c166.67$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.672334.8%8 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick20cpaid+23.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed NIP61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050340.2%202 W · 301 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked BC.Game Esports41c161.61$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.3526836.6%98 W · 170 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed BC.Game Esports40c156$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.2511245.5%51 W · 61 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c4…6dfdbacked NIP66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016853.6%90 W · 78 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7bf…b567backed NIP13c149.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204634.8%16 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x868b…1eb0backed NIP55c149.46$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.774233.3%14 W · 28 L-6.0wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-37.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed NIP67c149.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005354.7%29 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked BC.Game Esports36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8912256.6%69 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe28f…be21backed BC.Game Esports37c136.22$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.221631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.