TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2ddf…1b96

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
109
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: CS2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT3151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)backed ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$23.22
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$24.95
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: T1 vs GAM Esports (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$15.83
LoL: French Flair vs BIG (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked French Flair · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.28
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.36
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8.45
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.75
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+117.4%+$16.38
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+47.1%+$14.12
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.87
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24
LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$17.16
LoL: Sentinels vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$11.03
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+98.5%+$37.45
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+81.8%+$20.45
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)backed LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$107.56
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 - Map 1 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.57
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$10.84
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$34.15
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Valorant: Team Heretics vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$18.85
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+52.2%+$23.48
Valorant: PRX vs Team Heretics backed Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esportsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+71.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+35.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+50%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Packers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Bears vs. Raidersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+300%+$30
Chargers vs. Giantsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+130.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Macarthur FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Perth Glory FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+138.3%+$69.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.23
Will Solana reach $200 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT+139.4%+$43.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paderborn win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
1. FC Köln vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$19
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Europe win the 2025 Ryder Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$22.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump say "Hottest" during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+150%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$8.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Udinese Calcio vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will anyone say "Public transport" 3+ times during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.