La Liga · resolved market

Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8df14db644a6037ff00d1516c92150d23b4e5aed1ab1c9dd07e700f05ddc57cf

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Feb 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $72,845
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $78,381

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,845 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in La Liga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	60c	14,867$8,923 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,943.92	4,740	47%2,230 W · 2,510 L	-23.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over	42c	9,000$3,740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,740	136	45.6%62 W · 74 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over	41c	8,701$3,583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,582.62	265	50.9%135 W · 130 L	+8.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under	59c	7,334$4,319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,015.33	126	48.4%61 W · 65 L	-9.0wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over	41c	5,858$2,377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,377.21	97	48.5%47 W · 50 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under	54c	4,002$2,161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,841.82	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under	59c	3,786$2,230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,555.58	204	49.5%101 W · 103 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under	58c	3,000$1,740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,260	219	57.5%126 W · 93 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over	40c	2,500$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.89	138	24.6%34 W · 104 L	-6.8wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	58c	2,473$1,438 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,034.51	2,343	48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Under	60c	2,000$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Over	43c	1,999$860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$859.76	69	44.9%31 W · 38 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over	43c	1,980$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$850	114	44.7%51 W · 63 L	-5.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	42c	1,816$762 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$762.15	1,798	51.4%924 W · 874 L	+6.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	67c	1,733$1,158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$575.27	1,419	45.6%647 W · 772 L	-9.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over	42c	1,204$508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$508	53	43.4%23 W · 30 L	+5.3wins	+0.10per pick	33cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over	44c	1,121$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$493.4	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+15%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bda…edd3backed Over	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-51.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over	42c	952.38$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	+3.7wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+13%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under	58c	949.82$551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$398.93	43	34.9%15 W · 28 L	-7.0wins	-0.16per pick	51cpaid	-34%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcc99…7dc1backed Over	42c	938.36$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.11	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.19per pick	39cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over	23c	899.83$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.96	37	24.3%9 W · 28 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1df4…0540backed Over	49c	897.53$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.79	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Under	56c	892.86$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$392.86	72	41.7%30 W · 42 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20c7…50c9backed Under	50c	845.82$426 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$419.57	63	44.4%28 W · 35 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	80c	843.64$675 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.73	616	57.8%356 W · 260 L	+42.1wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under	64c	836.22$533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$303.2	228	59.6%136 W · 92 L	+18.2wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+55.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under	58c	800$464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336	225	52.4%118 W · 107 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Under	70c	720$504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54fe…5850backed Over	40c	685$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over	44c	681.82$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	119	29.4%35 W · 84 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	58c	578.15$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242.45	428	51.4%220 W · 208 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	59c	559.1$332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.1	1,018	53.1%541 W · 477 L	-24.8wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Under	56c	554.12$311 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242.94	117	36.8%43 W · 74 L	+6.7wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x48d7…1bd1backed Over	39c	512.91$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under	58c	360$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.2	142	44.4%63 W · 79 L	-12.6wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over	41c	349.98$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.49	342	52%178 W · 164 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over	37c	346.9$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	308	42.9%132 W · 176 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under	59c	340.03$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.03	78	50%39 W · 39 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under	58c	314.99$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.29	108	48.1%52 W · 56 L	+5.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Over	41c	300$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-4.1wins	-0.19per pick	53cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under	59c	299.97$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.99	129	51.9%67 W · 62 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under	58c	299.94$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.97	197	50.3%99 W · 98 L	-5.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc98a…edacbacked Over	42c	277.4$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.51	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab2c…7e7cbacked Over	42c	272.86$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.6	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Over	42c	257.63$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.23	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+36.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over	22c	251.08$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	175	41.1%72 W · 103 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Over	40c	250.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	140	23.6%33 W · 107 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Over	41c	244.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.45	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	-3.5wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under	59c	240$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.4	350	54%189 W · 161 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under	59c	240$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.4	317	51.1%162 W · 155 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Over	42c	238.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under	58c	238.08$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.99	65	53.8%35 W · 30 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over	21c	237.46$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	55	47.3%26 W · 29 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over	43c	232.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	225	53.8%121 W · 104 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f51…41edbacked Over	44c	227.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over	54c	225.93$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122	71	31%22 W · 49 L	-11.8wins	-0.17per pick	48cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under	59c	216$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.56	276	52.5%145 W · 131 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25ae…b2b1backed Over	42c	209.19$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.86	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under	59c	208.35$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.42	218	49.1%107 W · 111 L	-7.8wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Over	42c	201.86$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.78	163	42.3%69 W · 94 L	-6.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	167	45.5%76 W · 91 L	+5.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+18%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over	41c	200$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Over	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	44	52.3%23 W · 21 L	+2.7wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under	59c	200$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82	290	53.4%155 W · 135 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under	59c	200$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82	181	52.5%95 W · 86 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e52…9078backed Over	42c	200$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	41	39%16 W · 25 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over	41c	182.93$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	150	34.7%52 W · 98 L	+7.2wins	+0.05per pick	30cpaid	+6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under	59c	180$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.8	152	50%76 W · 76 L	-8.7wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over	42c	179.36$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.33	154	43.5%67 W · 87 L	-13.6wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x57c6…fde6backed Over	41c	176.22$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.25	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	70c	172.78$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.67	284	46.5%132 W · 152 L	-16.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under	58c	170$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.4	209	49.8%104 W · 105 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over	42c	159.87$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.15	87	32.2%28 W · 59 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under	61c	150.13$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.01	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-2.8wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under	58c	150$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63	199	51.8%103 W · 96 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over	20c	148.85$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	195	44.1%86 W · 109 L	+13.7wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over	41c	146.34$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	321	45.8%147 W · 174 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd67…bb43backed Over	44c	145.45$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.16per pick	59cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under	59c	144$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.04	161	51.6%83 W · 78 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6677…575cbacked Over	42c	143.51$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.27	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe113…375dbacked Under	59c	140.98$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.8	25	52%13 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd65…3e60backed Over	43c	138.46$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	139	58.3%81 W · 58 L	+6.7wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc42f…9bb8backed Over	44c	136.36$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over	37c	135.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	67	31.3%21 W · 46 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over	41c	131$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.61	601	47.9%288 W · 313 L	+50.5wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	11c	124.07$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	3,449	43%1,484 W · 1,965 L	+32.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under	59c	120$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.2	43	51.2%22 W · 21 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over	42c	119.05$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-4.7wins	-0.39per pick	48cpaid	-82.6%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over	42c	119.05$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	90	71.1%64 W · 26 L	+10.3wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	68c	117.68$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.12	1,655	43.8%725 W · 930 L	-22.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over	43c	116.28$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	168	65.5%110 W · 58 L	+8.5wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ad7…c097backed Over	44c	114.02$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.12	30	40%12 W · 18 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Over	25c	108$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	51	51%26 W · 25 L	+4.0wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over	39c	103.45$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	340	50%170 W · 170 L	+16.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over	20c	102$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.4	103	35%36 W · 67 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Over	39c	101.54$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.6	47	55.3%26 W · 21 L	+4.3wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Over	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	44	25%11 W · 33 L	+2.5wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+60.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over	30c	100$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	76	25%19 W · 57 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under	59c	100$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41	240	52.9%127 W · 113 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5this page
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5Over won
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event