TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,013
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,719

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,013 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No50c18,912$9,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,398.344,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a0…eb0ebacked No52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b5…e0f9backed Yes48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes51c9,788$4,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,843.2326550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes53c5,838$3,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,761.924242.9%18 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No49c5,528$2,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.52,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Yes49c1,356$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.923565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+29.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes52c1,297$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.784447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9985…a45cbacked Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5003342.4%14 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Yes52c918.06$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.675952.5%31 W · 28 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed No50c900$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45013760.6%83 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No47c894$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.1820159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed No47c849.14$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.669947.5%47 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked No51c588.96$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.374047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Yes52c576.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.947241.7%30 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Yes50c560$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2803056.7%17 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No48c538.44$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.041,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Yes49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.162065%13 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20026545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Yes51c392.77$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.774060%24 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes51c388.24$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.2437829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.625453.7%29 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Yes51c358.69$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.0517541.1%72 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Yes52c341$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.862250%11 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.123033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe56f…3914backed Yes50c298$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1491353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x899f…f8a2backed Yes64c292.77$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0b1…f219backed Yes63c279.53$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.531060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+40.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes50c268.06$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.0630842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed No48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1208457.1%48 W · 36 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa1ee…0267backed Yes50c228$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1141533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x322e…a2cebacked Yes50c200.46$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.234847.9%23 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929545.3%43 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe73…ed60backed Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10013668.4%93 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006750.7%34 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23d4…5607backed Yes51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.082240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Yes51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.085151%26 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked No52c174.03$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904562.2%28 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes39c172.94$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.133,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Yes53c158.49$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.495950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes47c158.46$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2821355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes48c155.13$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.911736.8%43 W · 74 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes49c153.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0615034.7%52 W · 98 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7519237.5%72 W · 120 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No48c142.5$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.479133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe015…621fbacked Yes48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No49c124.13$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.120452.5%107 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76e7…1872backed No50c114.15$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.64825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-61.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc067…e97cbacked Yes52c108$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.844055%22 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.045459.3%32 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+25.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd537…4bfabacked Yes49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.041266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Yes45c100.44$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4411046.4%51 W · 59 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd573…f99ebacked Yes49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a3e…ef94backed No51c99.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.992040%8 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf04…749ebacked Yes51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.04450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No50c92.63$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.321,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No50c91.5$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9357252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028446.5%132 W · 152 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed No51c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.414044.3%62 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…7627backed Yes51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Yes50c78$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399722.7%22 W · 75 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-29.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8192…3da2backed Yes49c71.43$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d9…1bdfbacked Yes50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes59c67.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9742158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x27b1…592bbacked Yes58c61.64$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.64955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked No49c61.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.944334.9%15 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Yes50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307354.8%40 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x63c6…cee1backed Yes50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes50c58$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2919130.4%58 W · 133 L-0.6wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No48c57$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3653246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f8f…1ee8backed No53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd69e…3393backed Yes45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.564165.9%27 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe113…375dbacked No51c54.79$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.212552%13 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Yes52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2423255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x49bb…4d4cbacked Yes50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Yes51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0222157%126 W · 95 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Yes52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0824757.5%142 W · 105 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No50c41.8$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.731,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65ac…22d4backed Yes50c41.12$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.56742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked No48c41.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.75129.4%15 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0b…83e4backed Yes49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.821040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc884…a4e6backed Yes50c40.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.413850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff6b…8a9ebacked Yes49c40.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.82846.4%13 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Yes50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201275%9 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+39.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Yes58c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.83171%22 W · 9 L+6.3wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+35.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xb227…7553backed Yes51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.223452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3df…3e0cbacked Yes51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.221566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72df…42f6backed Yes51c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.111376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+36.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked No48c39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.722240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7279…a05cbacked Yes53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.743161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa15…95e3backed No49c37.18$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.42540%10 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes50c36.24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.124257.1%24 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7604…f7cdbacked Yes51c36.08$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.68666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+65.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab0f…9900backed Yes50c32.6$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.31163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Yes62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2622366.8%149 W · 74 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e7b…e425backed Yes53c32.02$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5649…99adbacked Yes49c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.323357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3947…6c1ebacked Yes32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.252100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+556.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a3c…84c5backed Yes50c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.53164.5%20 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.