La Liga · resolved market
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc471c0dfdaf43512f8765f67bd37ca20300505ba7c033cdda80f5f8fa5cfb209
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 12,365$4,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,426.18 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 69c | 3,326$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.93 | 130 | 70.8%92 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Under | 32c | 3,045$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…a34cbacked Over | 60c | 2,389$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.2 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 31c | 1,880$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.74 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 1,757$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.78 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a1…2b76backed Over | 69c | 1,650$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…edd3backed Over | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.98 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Over | 69c | 1,448$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.59 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3060…c709backed Over | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 69c | 1,138$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.68 | 132 | 63.6%84 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 69c | 1,058$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.97 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Over | 69c | 962.65$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.42 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 37c | 928.78$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.19 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a5…b620backed Over | 69c | 915$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.65 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 70c | 857.14$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 70c | 796.35$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.98 | 128 | 75%96 W · 32 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Over | 65c | 738.54$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.54 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 70c | 713.76$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.76 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…b8ffbacked Over | 69c | 643.54$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ad…a5cabacked Under | 50c | 627.21$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 34c | 579.35$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.77 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…271bbacked Over | 68c | 543.25$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.83 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 67c | 531.52$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.4 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 44c | 494.31$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.99 | 1,651 | 43.9%724 W · 927 L | -21.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 65c | 459.41$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.42 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6f…5a01backed Over | 71c | 375$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.43 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 71cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…1846backed Over | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 67c | 342.01$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.87 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d52…f748backed Over | 69c | 325.55$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Over | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Over | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked Over | 52c | 273.28$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb27e…29d4backed Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 30c | 240$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 30c | 239.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 317 | 51.1%162 W · 155 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 52c | 217$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 30c | 216$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 276 | 52.5%145 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89e5…6f7abacked Over | 70c | 213.26$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 218 | 49.1%107 W · 111 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 68c | 187.1$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 30c | 184$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -12.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 30c | 180$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce1…19f3backed Over | 70c | 169.47$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Over | 69c | 157.39$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.41 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -11.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…fba5backed Over | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +43%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Over | 70c | 148.5$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 30c | 143$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 141.12$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…aaccbacked Over | 70c | 140$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…f219backed Over | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…e592backed Over | 69c | 126.78$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 45c | 101.09$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.09 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb992…0838backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 223 | 50.2%112 W · 111 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 31c | 87.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 44c | 85.27$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 65c | 84.62$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Over | 68c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 43c | 69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 48c | 67.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 195 | 44.1%86 W · 109 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Under | 32c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 60c | 60.93$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 38c | 56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf07c…9a72backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 30c | 50.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1e…53e3backed Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 45 | 80%36 W · 9 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +27%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 69c | 48.75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 80c | 43.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca2…ad5ebacked Over | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab50…6e96backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Under | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 61c | 38.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 78c | 38.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 29c | 36.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…958ebacked Over | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab0f…9900backed Over | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 70c | 35.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 595 | 55.5%330 W · 265 L | +31.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…728abacked Over | 70c | 34.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Over | 53c | 33.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5this page
- Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5Under won
- Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.