TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe56f…3914

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+92.3%+$73.44
Manchester City FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$38.36
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$51.36
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+59.9%+$53.87
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+100%+$124
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$135
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$880Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+57.8%+$508.71
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$173.21
Will Wolves win on 2025-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$86.21
Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$116.3
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.52
Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+68.1%+$117.65
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$366.04
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$109.2
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+92.3%+$50.39
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+58.7%+$63.22
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+75.4%+$69.45
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$299.99
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-02-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$127
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+100%+$149
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$994Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+31.6%+$313.97
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$136.5
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$29.66
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$158.3
Will Real Madrid beat Getafe?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$8.66
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+51.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+422.5%+$291.56
Will Iowa State win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.92
North Carolina vs. Ole Missbacked North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$145.29
Georgia vs. Gonzagabacked Gonzaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$8.33
Creighton vs. Louisvillebacked Creighton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+137.2%+$50.76
Loyola Chicago vs. San José Statebacked Loyola Chicago · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
Xavier vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
North Carolina vs. San Diego Statebacked North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$17
Tennessee vs. Floridabacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$22.77
Alabama vs. Floridabacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$43.36
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST80%0 W · 8 L-3.8wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-64.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+75%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$326.05
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$59.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Saudi Arabian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+40.8%+$27.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.41
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.