TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,748,239
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,635,011

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,748,239 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,057 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9cb9…32f2backed No30c295,118$89,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205,677.141136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes70c163,931$114,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114,001.6424044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes70c142,457$99,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99,720.011154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No28c91,570$25,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,930.363351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+28.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Yes72c86,000$61,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,919.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick72cpaid-54.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5aa…1449backed No32c82,531$26,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,120.74475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+95.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No29c77,319$22,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,174.031650%8 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+31%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked No30c74,242$21,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,322.74560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+39.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes69c71,725$49,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,157.474841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes72c60,000$43,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,200616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-78.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae6…3cbebacked No30c58,996$17,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,347.13450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+43.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes70c52,976$37,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,205.4414337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eae…5095backed Yes72c45,470$32,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,738.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes65c43,452$28,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,388.51435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa117…a311backed Yes69c41,900$28,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,91110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No43c38,272$16,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,758.241,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No42c36,149$15,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,802.8162648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No60c34,819$20,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,866.445947.5%28 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes71c34,065$24,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,223.4315455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No34c32,841$11,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,697.254447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No29c32,470$9,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,072.964551.1%23 W · 22 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+44.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No31c29,160$9,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,120.314459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No30c28,930$8,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,260.32920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-39.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No28c27,786$7,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,005.682317.4%4 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc311…44fcbacked Yes72c27,778$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,000520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-60.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No28c24,652$6,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,749.44940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No30c24,427$7,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,193.8352550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes43c22,274$9,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,635.9371140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed No49c21,738$10,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,999.45450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+39.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No28c18,888$5,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,599.273246.9%15 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+29.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No29c18,509$5,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,199.5387344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No29c15,457$4,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,901.4935037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked No66c14,260$9,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,885.571040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked No30c13,568$4,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,482.49955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+41.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes62c12,000$7,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,399.953655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No30c10,858$3,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,600.721656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x306c…51f2backed Yes0c10,029$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-21.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed No31c10,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,9002540%10 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes71c8,419$5,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,975.311450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No28c8,210$2,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,911.172737%10 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No29c8,144$2,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,755.493542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+41.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes71c8,132$5,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,773.4913348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No46c7,820$3,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,210.6848649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No30c7,803$2,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,462.372227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-45.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed Yes70c7,450$5,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,197.981566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b73…7421backed Yes71c6,525$4,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,632.45540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a24…4a1fbacked No28c6,338$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,538.1966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+55.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7053…887abacked No30c6,231$1,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,361.893100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+142.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes7c6,072$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.1511916.8%20 W · 99 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed No31c6,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1402100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+253.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No31c6,000$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,17012957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd606…9e01backed No30c5,607$1,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,910.17683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.40per pick43cpaid+87%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf62a…aecfbacked Yes17c5,600$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes68c5,487$3,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,722.0324642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes71c5,386$3,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,806.779747.4%46 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed No30c5,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,499.991952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+36.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Yes28c4,948$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,407.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+739%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8ca…b357backed No30c4,835$1,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,384.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+159.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No31c4,500$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1055156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb99d…1e6abacked No31c4,480$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,110.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+72.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No30c4,450$1,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1151225%3 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Yes68c4,413$3,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.842676.9%20 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick71cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Yes35c4,364$1,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,547.621250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No29c4,283$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,040.76728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes12c4,170$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.45729.8%17 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68c9…b988backed Yes72c4,167$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Yes61c4,142$2,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,542.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc776…1e92backed No31c4,035$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,800.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+226.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No29c4,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,839.994057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Yes70c4,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed No29c4,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,839.931717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-54.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes36c3,790$1,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,363.243644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No29c3,663$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,600.683756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No47c3,555$1,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,895.381,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5508…5a70backed Yes71c3,429$2,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,434.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked No29c3,333$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,366.43944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a9c…c9aebacked Yes66c3,300$2,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,180.931330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes71c3,193$2,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,256.25450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f26…33d1backed Yes70c3,176$2,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,216.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Yes70c3,166$2,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,231.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No31c3,119$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,163.23333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6695…6f1abacked Yes68c3,035$2,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,063.86560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+41%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No33c3,025$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,027.913240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+19.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Yes72c3,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1601471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+39.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes70c3,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.996648.5%32 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No29c2,931$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,068.151136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No30c2,855$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,005.612944.8%13 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Yes72c2,800$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0161553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes40c2,780$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.22825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-58.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x947c…79b5backed Yes72c2,778$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d04…7a5fbacked No29c2,700$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,917475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+114.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe786…b716backed Yes72c2,635$1,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,897.23250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Yes60c2,587$1,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,552.09450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+86.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Yes72c2,570$1,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8412572%18 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No30c2,501$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.6929949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Yes52c2,428$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,267.44540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No29c2,414$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,713.795757.9%33 W · 24 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4449…cb66backed Yes70c2,350$1,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,645.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes55c2,335$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,276.323070%21 W · 9 L+5.7wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+36.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes72c2,208$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5903650%18 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.