TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$166,607
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$165,105

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,607 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes16c18,882$3,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,083.2287344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes19c17,012$3,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,257.351,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x183d…1270backed Yes21c10,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,100837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+55%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No78c6,700$5,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.61,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f18…2d79backed Yes29c6,272$1,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,818.89250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No76c5,994$4,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,429.5948649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed Yes17c5,000$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8501952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+36.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes18c4,295$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.011844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed07…886abacked No79c3,800$3,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7981258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick70cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe831…a42abacked Yes21c3,790$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.6650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed No67c3,237$2,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.492231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-42.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes13c3,165$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.6511916.8%20 W · 99 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No70c3,087$2,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.4926040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Yes19c2,662$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No75c2,432$1,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.8171140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No73c2,335$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.884170.7%29 W · 12 L+6.3wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+54.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No72c2,055$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.6311070%77 W · 33 L+18.3wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x6936…be97backed Yes30c1,993$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.3820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes5c1,650$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Yes19c1,590$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3082572%18 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Yes7c1,540$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.94628.3%13 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes16c1,500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24017329.5%51 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes34c1,472$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.482744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Yes34c1,471$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002744.4%12 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+41.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc079…8accbacked Yes16c1,374$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.843627.8%10 W · 26 L-5.6wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5508…5a70backed Yes33c1,146$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes15c1,030$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.935037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31011735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5db…f982backed Yes32c963.74$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.19850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Yes31c950.81$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes31c859.15$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.341450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No73c851.5$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.499863.3%62 W · 36 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked No70c821.74$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.02966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16f2…f62cbacked Yes33c710$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d9d…c2ddbacked Yes26c700$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes10c676.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.231216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-40.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes16c650$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10433148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007031.4%22 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No74c515.78$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.7262648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd778…0ca4backed Yes10c501.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155747.4%27 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb163…4129backed Yes17c441.41$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.041338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aba…00d8backed Yes18c430$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.42147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No74c421.69$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.598066.3%53 W · 27 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5c1…81a1backed Yes33c397.7$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.97540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed No71c390$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.11172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011725.6%30 W · 87 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x726d…b10dbacked Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8d0…26c7backed Yes30c330$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid+14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+100.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f7c…e75cbacked Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-63.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5410838%41 W · 67 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5414045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb82…1537backed Yes14c300$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5c1…0101backed Yes21c300$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-81.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes18c278$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0426845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe62e…8147backed Yes6c276.15$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.48944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c6b…f532backed Yes34c260.5$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5730%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2085…dd27backed Yes32c246.88$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-70.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes32c241.84$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3913246.2%61 W · 71 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No71c239.98$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.895644.6%25 W · 31 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes31c232$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.92100%0 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes17c230.46$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.262540%10 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+34.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7839…54cbbacked Yes18c227.78$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Yes32c224$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.021250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b4…f0d0backed Yes34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6830%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad19…a7adbacked Yes33c199.88$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.965046%23 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked No74c199$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.065343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes13c193.9$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254520%9 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Yes32c175.41$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.931154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74cd…608fbacked Yes17c166$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes7c162.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.825026%13 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x498d…fd66backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+284.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab08…37fabacked Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.39per pick56cpaid-75.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf83a…2ef8backed Yes31c150.68$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Yes30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453616.7%6 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-40.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes17c150$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.513016.2%21 W · 109 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0100…9babbacked Yes35c143.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060%0 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc684…ce87backed Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.28per pick46cpaid-69.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e9c…e966backed Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03e7…5284backed Yes18c140$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0faf…d0d9backed Yes18c138.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb0…4488backed Yes34c138.24$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-63%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb838…cf88backed No73c137.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.02540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes16c132.02$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.379256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes19c131.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253658.3%21 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3397…3f53backed Yes18c125$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf8b…51f7backed Yes34c117.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x469e…d9ccbacked Yes17c116.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick16cpaid+167.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes17c116$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7224052.9%127 W · 113 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes35c109.92$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4711753.8%63 W · 54 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No69c109$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8212147.9%58 W · 63 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes23c108$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9135650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa44b…ca71backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes34c102.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-49.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes32c102$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.693644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165236.5%19 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.141735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.