TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Pistons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Pistons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,220,527
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,281,923

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,220,527 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 414 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…1dd2backed Pistons55c219,058$120,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120,481.766344.4%28 W · 35 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x18d2…81e0backed Knicks45c148,717$66,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81,794.132369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+25.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3196…146fbacked Knicks45c111,012$49,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,056.391936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6790…5e06backed Knicks44c40,820$17,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,827.387335.6%26 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Knicks70c38,377$26,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,450.8796447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98c8…1b65backed Pistons55c37,200$20,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,459.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pistons44c36,116$15,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,780.671,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Knicks46c32,295$14,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,580.5928341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bc5…50bbbacked Knicks45c29,550$13,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,252.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+154%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Knicks27c27,557$7,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,980.3446426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed Knicks39c21,624$8,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,234.9313248.5%64 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed Knicks55c21,597$11,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,825.6410357.3%59 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe47c…3afabacked Knicks49c20,250$9,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,367.8923342.9%100 W · 133 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pistons56c20,069$11,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,194.1766853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Pistons52c18,037$9,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,365.281,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Pistons24c17,699$4,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,285.175433.3%18 W · 36 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Pistons74c16,635$12,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,239.8329957.2%171 W · 128 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12bd…730dbacked Pistons52c16,389$8,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,4432751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Pistons55c15,485$8,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,442.412938%49 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Knicks29c14,296$4,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,134.3923237.1%86 W · 146 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c70…232abacked Pistons25c11,506$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9005337.7%20 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Knicks61c10,156$6,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,003.6222457.1%128 W · 96 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29bf…25b0backed Knicks46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,4002060%12 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8377…4198backed Pistons18c10,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8005940.7%24 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Knicks26c8,859$2,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,512.2148046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1569…4e0cbacked Pistons75c8,119$6,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,072.131457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa34e…895ebacked Pistons38c7,901$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002924.1%7 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1752…7993backed Knicks69c7,163$4,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,188.174062.5%25 W · 15 L+6.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+52%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0642…98ebbacked Pistons56c7,143$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-37.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05b9…af0abacked Knicks42c6,692$2,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,867.572240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Pistons52c6,417$3,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,336.6628347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks16c6,370$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,344.753,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7239…6591backed Pistons55c6,270$3,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,452.773636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-26.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Pistons54c6,191$3,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,343.1261851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Pistons47c6,000$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,82080146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa849…c825backed Knicks45c6,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,299.9616641%68 W · 98 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Pistons55c5,800$3,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,189.9919448.5%94 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Knicks25c5,615$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,216.6913731.4%43 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf586…f614backed Pistons49c5,360$2,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,601.883243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pistons56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80049849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Knicks67c4,686$3,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,547.6470147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Pistons55c4,520$2,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,47561345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc41…3873backed Knicks45c4,450$2,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,447.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pistons56c4,330$2,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,437.481,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Pistons54c4,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,16036748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Pistons44c3,900$1,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,71553134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Pistons63c3,483$2,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,192.3217256.4%97 W · 75 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a51…66e5backed Knicks45c3,200$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7601100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Pistons34c3,025$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.4137627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce13…a213backed Pistons55c3,011$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,656.051435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-33.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf137…a557backed Knicks45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6501353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Pistons45c3,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3606454.7%35 W · 29 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pistons56c2,969$1,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,652.132,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Pistons55c2,959$1,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,622.1537734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef60…0e7cbacked Knicks47c2,852$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.551040%4 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Pistons53c2,295$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.151,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6641…4a1abacked Knicks45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.221752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+32.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Knicks45c2,221$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.486339.7%25 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf33…261fbacked Pistons33c2,213$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.9217420.1%35 W · 139 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Knicks49c2,057$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.8212657.1%72 W · 54 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Knicks45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.981,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Pistons49c1,947$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.3710551.4%54 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed Knicks45c1,919$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0492740.7%11 W · 16 L+4.7wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+121.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Knicks46c1,916$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.5220447.1%96 W · 108 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Pistons55c1,819$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.4366153.3%352 W · 309 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ead…cf47backed Pistons55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004050%20 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4447…a0e7backed Knicks75c1,799$1,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.769450%47 W · 47 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Pistons1c1,705$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.124423.8%58 W · 186 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-56.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Pistons49c1,697$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.9870640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Pistons56c1,600$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89645348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked Knicks65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.469442.6%40 W · 54 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fca…523abacked Knicks45c1,501$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.59560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Pistons55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82573051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfe1…1dafbacked Knicks9c1,500$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,365450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+221.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Pistons58c1,317$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.2827546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Knicks46c1,300$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70230443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Pistons31c1,299$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.3738027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Knicks22c1,296$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.0326431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Knicks48c1,253$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.2447542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Knicks45c1,200$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66645743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Knicks39c1,132$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.823646.6%110 W · 126 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ba8…f9f7backed Pistons48c1,130$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5401127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8276…08f7backed Pistons31c1,129$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x265d…5329backed Knicks39c1,129$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.194740.4%19 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Knicks45c1,123$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.4136247.2%171 W · 191 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d4a…2215backed Knicks45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.1119838.9%77 W · 121 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x55b6…09e2backed Knicks60c1,100$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4425158.8%30 W · 21 L+7.1wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+29.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Pistons55c1,096$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.7815551%79 W · 76 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Pistons45c1,080$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.6619535.4%69 W · 126 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Pistons56c1,076$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60029643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd666…08f2backed Pistons55c1,044$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.45742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ed…7a01backed Knicks45c1,035$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5691384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.4wins+0.34per pick51cpaid+70.8%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x4f2c…49a2backed Pistons55c1,035$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5691233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Pistons38c1,004$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.918146.9%38 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Pistons1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Knicks45c1,000$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55320050.5%101 W · 99 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Pistons56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56024855.6%138 W · 110 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5445…58f0backed Pistons55c999.91$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.951330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-44.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Knicks63c952.54$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.5419145.5%87 W · 104 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x622f…8fe6backed Knicks65c919.26$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.923100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+117.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.