TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Manchester City FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,124
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,016

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,124 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No55c8,482$4,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,835.386,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7f69…1ffebacked Yes55c8,106$4,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,458.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4958…a146backed No45c8,106$3,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,458.13250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23d4…5607backed Yes32c3,480$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1246043.3%26 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Yes37c1,880$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.82948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c5b…0584backed No54c1,842$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.22339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes56c1,773$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.1215757.3%90 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No43c1,581$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.292,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No42c1,500$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.9860728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes36c1,131$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.289532.6%31 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes58c1,129$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.114975.8%113 W · 36 L+26.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+38.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed No44c999.95$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.979953.5%53 W · 46 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Yes58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004367.4%29 W · 14 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes56c724.52$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.1152454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes57c710$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.730143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No69c572.78$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.834,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Yes56c536.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005752.6%30 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78bc…2585backed No70c530$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.22740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2459134.1%31 W · 60 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce24…6239backed No45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2758134.6%28 W · 53 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+29.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x714a…9dacbacked Yes57c438.74$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502650%13 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d7f…1162backed Yes57c427$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No45c400.29$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.081,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7839…54cbbacked No53c377.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.741163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes30c376.67$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11323632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa296…743dbacked Yes55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006157.4%35 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1022…cfeebacked Yes57c344.05$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.111546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16831053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes48c286.36$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13822832.9%75 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfcf…5cb5backed Yes55c283.64$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1564037.5%15 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Yes55c272.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507250%36 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc1…9932backed Yes57c245.61$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick35cpaid+201.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec5b…aff2backed No44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.271546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No67c178.94$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1889152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d40…e36cbacked Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.19per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No64c176.53$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.541,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Yes57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005747.4%27 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked Yes57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004557.8%26 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No42c157$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.0672249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x738f…c83bbacked Yes51c154.9$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.35560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No42c150.08$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.791,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed No44c135.86$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.341,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508154.3%44 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d8e…841dbacked Yes38c131.6$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.551758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+73.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes57c131.4$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756344.4%28 W · 35 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes48c124.73$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.118139.2%71 W · 110 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf54d…f8fdbacked No44c124.02$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.45580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+33.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Yes9c110.15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109156%51 W · 40 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked No44c106$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.363348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf8b…51f7backed Yes58c103.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603050%15 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+29.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec46…072dbacked No42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585837.9%22 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4525339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf680…2c59backed No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503450%17 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Yes46c89$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.943040%12 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Yes57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509946.5%46 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+21.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Yes57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017048.8%83 W · 87 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4929…b9f9backed Yes55c86.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.673943.6%17 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-12.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No71c82.97$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.919455.2%107 W · 87 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No43c82.72$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0896443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Yes52c77.38$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405955.9%33 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Yes55c75.15$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6121049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Yes55c72.9$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409245.7%42 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes57c70.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016233.3%54 W · 108 L-14.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe56f…3914backed Yes57c67.3$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.361457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1835…83afbacked Yes57c64.91$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379246.7%43 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Yes56c60.26$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.764839.6%19 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No47c57.77$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6219154.5%104 W · 87 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fb…6d42backed Yes47c56.87$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276045%27 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No45c56.85$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.511,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Yes38c53.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013550.4%68 W · 67 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972c…c2e2backed Yes58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0aa…13b3backed No54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed No47c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.518449.5%91 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce97…73dbbacked Yes55c49.09$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5843…fb53backed No44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.45850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes58c44.81$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.998226.8%22 W · 60 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1a7…34d6backed Yes56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick68cpaid-47.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb47e…8a93backed Yes58c43.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked No45c42.13$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.136731.3%21 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No43c42.01$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1226554.7%145 W · 120 L-1.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Yes48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207233.3%24 W · 48 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3240…7ce9backed Yes55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221540%6 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-40.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8efb…c73ebacked Yes56c39.29$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.128937.1%33 W · 56 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x96d4…994cbacked Yes31c38.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Yes60c37.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.62853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdb…75dbbacked No53c37.88$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.881625%4 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-47.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x47fb…f01ebacked Yes55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad91…91bdbacked Yes59c36.32$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe65e…11ebbacked No42c35.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.71742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x157a…e4a3backed Yes57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010255.9%57 W · 45 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11a5…997dbacked Yes58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb48c…ab11backed Yes58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd19e…d396backed No44c34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.04540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes57c30.23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.239330.1%28 W · 65 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2348…9d10backed Yes56c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.81850%9 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x25c0…c187backed No46c27.96$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.13256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb780…e7a2backed Yes56c27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.121258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e31…a753backed Yes57c26.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Yes57c25.7$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6524340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7903…f0f3backed Yes55c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.