Premier League · resolved market
Manchester City FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0238875ec2bb7e288d4e423e57e4cb40a722449eb505666128c5d184968e3ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 8,482$4,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,835.38 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f69…1ffebacked Yes | 55c | 8,106$4,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,458.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4958…a146backed No | 45c | 8,106$3,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,458.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 32c | 3,480$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Yes | 37c | 1,880$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.8 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed No | 54c | 1,842$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.2 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 56c | 1,773$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.12 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 1,581$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.29 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.98 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 36c | 1,131$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.28 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 58c | 1,129$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.1 | 149 | 75.8%113 W · 36 L | +26.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed No | 44c | 999.95$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.97 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Yes | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 56c | 724.52$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.11 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 57c | 710$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.7 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 572.78$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.83 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Yes | 56c | 536.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…2585backed No | 70c | 530$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.2 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce24…6239backed No | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…9dacbacked Yes | 57c | 438.74$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…1162backed Yes | 57c | 427$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 45c | 400.29$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.08 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7839…54cbbacked No | 53c | 377.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.74 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 30c | 376.67$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa296…743dbacked Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1022…cfeebacked Yes | 57c | 344.05$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.11 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 48c | 286.36$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 228 | 32.9%75 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…5cb5backed Yes | 55c | 283.64$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Yes | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc1…9932backed Yes | 57c | 245.61$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 35cpaid | +201.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec5b…aff2backed No | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 67c | 178.94$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.18 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d40…e36cbacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 64c | 176.53$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 42c | 157$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.06 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x738f…c83bbacked Yes | 51c | 154.9$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 42c | 150.08$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.79 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed No | 44c | 135.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.34 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8e…841dbacked Yes | 38c | 131.6$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 57c | 131.4$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 48c | 124.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf54d…f8fdbacked No | 44c | 124.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Yes | 9c | 110.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked No | 44c | 106$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…51f7backed Yes | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec46…072dbacked No | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 46c | 89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 170 | 48.8%83 W · 87 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…b9f9backed Yes | 55c | 86.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 71c | 82.97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 43c | 82.72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Yes | 52c | 77.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 55c | 75.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Yes | 55c | 72.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 162 | 33.3%54 W · 108 L | -14.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe56f…3914backed Yes | 57c | 67.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1835…83afbacked Yes | 57c | 64.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Yes | 56c | 60.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 47c | 57.77$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fb…6d42backed Yes | 47c | 56.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 45c | 56.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 38c | 53.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972c…c2e2backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0aa…13b3backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 47c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce97…73dbbacked Yes | 55c | 49.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5843…fb53backed No | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes | 58c | 44.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a7…34d6backed Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…8a93backed Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 45c | 42.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No | 43c | 42.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 265 | 54.7%145 W · 120 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3240…7ce9backed Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked Yes | 56c | 39.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96d4…994cbacked Yes | 31c | 38.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Yes | 60c | 37.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdb…75dbbacked No | 53c | 37.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…f01ebacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad91…91bdbacked Yes | 59c | 36.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe65e…11ebbacked No | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a5…997dbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb48c…ab11backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d396backed No | 44c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 57c | 30.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed No | 46c | 27.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed Yes | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e31…a753backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 57c | 25.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7903…f0f3backed Yes | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester City FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Manchester City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Manchester City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.