TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd19e…d396

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: La Liga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricketlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT4465.9%29 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Top End T20 Series: Adelaide Strikers Academy vs Bangladesh High Performancebacked Bangladesh High Performance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Caribbean Premier League: St. Lucia Kings vs Jamaica Kingsmenbacked St. Lucia Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$15
Caribbean Premier League: Antigua And Barbuda Falcons vs St. Kitts and Nevis Patriotsbacked Antigua And Barbuda Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$19.18
The Hundred: MI London vs Trent Rocketsbacked Trent Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$12.74
The Hundred, Women: MI London vs Trent Rocketsbacked Trent Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.23
The Hundred: Birmingham Phoenix vs Sunrisers Leedsbacked Sunrisers Leeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+55%+$6.71
ODI Series West Indies vs. New Zealand: West Indies vs New Zealandbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.12
ODI Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladeshbacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.51
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Australiabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$4.68
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.5
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lankabacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.73
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10.85
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.36
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.48
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.68
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+148.1%+$59.93
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$60.74
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.75
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+81.6%+$14.94
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.61
Pakistan Super League: Rawalpindi Pindiz vs Karachi Kingsbacked Karachi Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$9.74
Pakistan Super League: Multan Sultans vs Hyderabad Kingsmenbacked Multan Sultans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$23.12
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT2356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.26
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$12.94
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$24.78
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.7
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$52.84
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$53.16
France vs. Senegal: France 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$23.33
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$39.39
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+86.3%+$29.67
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$55.19
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$25.23
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.29
Germany vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will Canada vs. Iceland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$10.17
Will France win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.31
All 23 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+33.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-14.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.78
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$26.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.