La Liga · resolved market
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2d6b5dc41772951a7efadbd9eac9bc43cc88e351ffe81c3d88f465b7eb15fc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $756,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $889,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $756,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 540 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 43c | 147,107$62,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,813.21 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 59c | 146,884$85,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,924.53 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 27c | 45,405$12,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,243.83 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 41c | 42,125$17,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,271.45 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 42c | 33,983$14,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,272.68 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 5c | 17,355$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.17 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes | 59c | 17,000$10,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,970 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 41c | 17,000$6,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,970 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +274.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc198…6d2cbacked Yes | 58c | 16,999$9,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,140.94 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 37cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 57c | 16,352$9,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,031.45 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 43c | 14,000$6,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,069.97 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 44c | 14,000$6,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,159.96 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 41c | 10,500$4,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,304.99 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 42c | 10,000$4,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,149.91 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 58c | 9,997$5,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,198.82 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…0c03backed Yes | 58c | 7,909$4,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,296.28 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 20c | 7,154$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.9 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 58c | 7,000$4,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Yes | 58c | 6,900$4,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,897.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 56c | 6,439$3,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,810.78 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 2c | 6,241$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.91 | 77 | 7.8%6 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 41c | 6,000$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 41c | 5,562$2,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289.3 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…fdd3backed Yes | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…5901backed Yes | 80c | 4,943$3,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.79 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 58c | 4,828$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.59 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.99 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 41c | 3,531$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.7 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 13c | 3,100$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea66…68ffbacked No | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 65c | 2,626$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.28 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.37 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 42c | 2,101$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.43 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 56c | 2,052$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.8 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Yes | 56c | 2,033$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.52 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed Yes | 78c | 2,011$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.37 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9397…ceb4backed Yes | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed No | 44c | 1,989$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.04 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Yes | 59c | 1,951$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 57c | 1,900$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.14 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74fb…96cfbacked Yes | 58c | 1,805$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.17 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Yes | 56c | 1,787$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 1,777$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.54 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…0e4abacked Yes | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 58c | 1,709$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.08 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce11…4a49backed Yes | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ae…7ecebacked Yes | 57c | 1,693$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.11 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aae…419dbacked Yes | 59c | 1,689$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.41 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…8c9dbacked Yes | 57c | 1,654$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363b…932abacked No | 43c | 1,629$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8d…8a96backed Yes | 58c | 1,563$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 58c | 1,502$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.96 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba8…958dbacked No | 42c | 1,489$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…d3d6backed No | 43c | 1,423$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 41c | 1,389$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.14 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef6d…3edebacked No | 43c | 1,373$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 24c | 1,320$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.8 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 23c | 1,300$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…daf1backed Yes | 58c | 1,268$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed Yes | 56c | 1,188$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 41c | 1,161$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.4 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0000…db52backed Yes | 58c | 1,152$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x396f…6e1ebacked Yes | 56c | 1,138$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b54…b910backed No | 6c | 1,040$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8b…c58bbacked Yes | 58c | 1,028$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 41c | 1,024$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.84 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…8c98backed Yes | 59c | 1,009$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.28 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 79c | 1,000$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 100 | 63%63 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b3…53b9backed Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2588…1cfdbacked No | 42c | 999.9$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.96 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 58c | 986.21$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.21 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1695…85e4backed Yes | 58c | 977.59$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 7c | 973.51$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.78 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 59c | 940.05$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.42 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Yes | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ad…4a01backed Yes | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff6…51e5backed Yes | 58c | 862.05$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…9133backed Yes | 59c | 861$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked No | 42c | 806.16$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.59 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 43c | 799.4$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.75 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 57c | 798$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.83 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb0…51d5backed Yes | 79c | 796.84$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.34 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 41c | 774.18$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.78 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Yes | 78c | 700$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 79c | 700$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39a3…bd26backed Yes | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 63cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b0…529bbacked Yes | 56c | 666.71$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4a…45b9backed Yes | 58c | 660.72$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +34%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…3d20backed Yes | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yes | 57c | 614.04$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.04 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 37c | 613.75$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.08 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Yes | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes | 56c | 578.57$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.57 | 150 | 62%93 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-21?this page
- Will Girona FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?No won
- Will Girona FC win on 2025-12-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.