La Liga · resolved market
Will Girona FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcf889b349b0ac2dcb108bf581a3d6bde318ff18119533c3d4cb1f4e06e12a27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 75c | 50,000$37,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,500 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 44,489$10,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,923.22 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes | 24c | 23,175$5,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,562 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 20,545$15,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,934.07 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…fdd3backed Yes | 19c | 4,999$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 26c | 4,794$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.89 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed No | 77c | 4,513$3,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.06 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…0c4bbacked Yes | 24c | 4,210$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 76c | 4,000$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.98 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 24c | 3,013$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.06 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 75c | 3,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8276…1204backed No | 75c | 2,021$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.33 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 1,812$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.62 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 1,497$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.28 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 76c | 1,416$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.25 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 16c | 1,371$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.76 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce0…32c9backed Yes | 1c | 1,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 24c | 1,011$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.55 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc609…7b6fbacked No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2588…1cfdbacked No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 15c | 663$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.45 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 25c | 656$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.52 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 3c | 632$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 3c | 551.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 76c | 500$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a0…1931backed No | 77c | 499.99$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 23c | 373.87$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.99 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 23c | 286.25$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 75c | 270.67$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.67 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 76c | 263.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb3…ae1ebacked Yes | 26c | 232.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…7e68backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Yes | 24c | 208$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 77c | 193.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…6365backed Yes | 26c | 188.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 76c | 163.81$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.32 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 24c | 159.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb231…0363backed Yes | 16c | 150.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 24c | 140$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 18c | 139$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fb…7c39backed Yes | 26c | 115.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…f1c5backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2116…d3c2backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a7…16c5backed Yes | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 75c | 93.71$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 23c | 87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…aa68backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…5981backed No | 77c | 81$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 76c | 79.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d396backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 77c | 72.64$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 75c | 61.6$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed Yes | 26c | 61.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed No | 74c | 59.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 74c | 59.64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Yes | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x280a…df86backed Yes | 24c | 43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…c85dbacked No | 77c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 185 | 64.9%120 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6987…6956backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 76c | 25.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e2c2backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfd…3191backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 76c | 19.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e22…c2ecbacked No | 78c | 13.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Girona FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?this page
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-21?Yes won
- Will Girona FC win on 2025-12-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.