La Liga · resolved market
Will Girona FC win on 2025-12-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b9e11ad15ae7a91a9c9dcdceb4e0d1a65df59179cd1d9e3c00b6baff7ff95ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,847,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,104,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,847,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 681 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 18c | 120,000$21,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,600 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 17c | 72,854$12,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,534.36 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 18c | 40,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 18c | 25,959$4,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,672.55 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes | 19c | 23,165$4,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,401.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 18c | 20,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426e…acd0backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 18c | 15,414$2,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,774.51 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 17c | 14,199$2,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,464.58 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 18c | 12,260$2,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.8 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 18c | 10,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…79ccbacked Yes | 20c | 8,488$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc0…a8a0backed Yes | 6c | 8,401$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2476…8b5bbacked Yes | 20c | 8,398$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…c6a8backed Yes | 1c | 8,373$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 18c | 7,596$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.47 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e8…d137backed Yes | 20c | 7,470$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 18c | 6,849$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.02 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7817…f1b2backed Yes | 20c | 6,237$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ad…e47ebacked Yes | 20c | 5,834$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…a693backed Yes | 0c | 5,492$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 17c | 5,400$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.99 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ce…b56cbacked Yes | 20c | 4,603$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe85…e229backed Yes | 20c | 4,470$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 18c | 4,407$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.96 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 18c | 4,245$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.75 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…d51abacked No | 80c | 4,175$3,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe996…9dffbacked Yes | 20c | 4,109$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f13…d7c8backed Yes | 20c | 4,094$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0620…57a2backed No | 80c | 4,057$3,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcc…c90cbacked Yes | 20c | 4,050$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…0c4bbacked Yes | 19c | 3,970$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472b…8fa1backed Yes | 20c | 3,951$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0512…b272backed Yes | 20c | 3,880$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89e…0331backed Yes | 20c | 3,878$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd69f…8b63backed Yes | 20c | 3,714$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f64…b5a7backed No | 80c | 3,701$2,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…36edbacked Yes | 20c | 3,668$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e4…2c03backed Yes | 20c | 3,630$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2916…a482backed No | 80c | 3,591$2,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…67d1backed Yes | 20c | 3,583$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce51…cb8fbacked No | 80c | 3,581$2,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09a0…2d96backed Yes | 20c | 3,580$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa06f…e831backed Yes | 20c | 3,531$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…202bbacked No | 80c | 3,523$2,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0989…e55fbacked Yes | 20c | 3,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb306…ff19backed No | 80c | 3,435$2,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81c2…cb74backed No | 80c | 3,288$2,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa641…3047backed No | 80c | 3,287$2,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac6a…1395backed No | 80c | 3,283$2,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe949…6b3ebacked Yes | 20c | 3,261$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…3e82backed Yes | 20c | 3,257$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27a1…4744backed Yes | 20c | 3,240$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 4c | 3,226$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.68 | 77 | 7.8%6 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x295e…7b3dbacked No | 80c | 3,171$2,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b1…d365backed Yes | 20c | 3,163$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec0…b862backed No | 80c | 3,162$2,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd444…1bd3backed Yes | 20c | 3,050$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7111…0a34backed No | 80c | 3,009$2,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a0…1931backed No | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…4503backed Yes | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbd…db3fbacked Yes | 20c | 2,971$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6586…c8adbacked Yes | 20c | 2,918$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…3cdcbacked Yes | 20c | 2,883$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x215e…281bbacked Yes | 20c | 2,830$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3124…9285backed No | 80c | 2,760$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a74…578fbacked Yes | 20c | 2,741$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 17c | 2,737$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.36 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb0…3003backed Yes | 20c | 2,727$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…14bfbacked Yes | 2c | 2,725$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f7…4674backed Yes | 20c | 2,691$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0f…9bbabacked Yes | 20c | 2,650$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a7…3befbacked No | 80c | 2,576$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…4649backed No | 80c | 2,573$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0248…14f0backed No | 80c | 2,560$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…2038backed No | 80c | 2,522$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c7…1310backed Yes | 20c | 2,496$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…ff95backed Yes | 20c | 2,491$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf81d…ec3abacked Yes | 20c | 2,448$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691d…3bccbacked Yes | 20c | 2,431$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e2…6208backed Yes | 1c | 2,422$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1168…abd7backed No | 80c | 2,422$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x315c…9ad0backed Yes | 20c | 2,381$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e58…800abacked Yes | 20c | 2,344$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…d836backed Yes | 20c | 2,322$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e0…204fbacked Yes | 20c | 2,296$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4a…9fc3backed No | 80c | 2,290$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a24…4c5cbacked Yes | 20c | 2,262$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa1…d3bbbacked No | 80c | 2,258$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4dd…b858backed No | 80c | 2,246$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…a0ffbacked Yes | 20c | 2,211$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0d…a014backed Yes | 20c | 2,203$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8f…05afbacked Yes | 20c | 2,201$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…0cc9backed Yes | 20c | 2,199$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…35b9backed No | 80c | 2,174$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.8 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 19c | 2,145$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.23 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4ea1backed Yes | 20c | 2,120$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e7…3f51backed No | 80c | 2,109$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0261…f13abacked No | 80c | 2,098$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.6 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42ba…5681backed Yes | 20c | 2,097$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Girona FC win on 2025-12-21?this page
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-21?Yes won
- Will Girona FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.