TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$540,648
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$635,031

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $540,648 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c46,591$24,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,664.844,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5739…e8b6backed Over23c25,387$5,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,552.464740.4%19 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Under47c17,753$8,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,299.7323540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under3c17,678$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.7366846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under18c14,931$2,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,664.3324533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under63c13,544$8,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,478.463,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under77c13,265$10,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,214.2374447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under47c11,765$5,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,534.153,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over62c11,383$7,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,289.282,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over58c7,346$4,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,093.891,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bef…5e49backed Under79c7,200$5,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,688.074544.4%20 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid+13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d86…52acbacked Under3c6,417$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.78633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick9cpaid+335.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Under3c6,078$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.8734533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Under43c5,707$2,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,443.6620839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over21c5,555$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,388.4532029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under41c5,388$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,219.6837650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Over56c5,094$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,243.8320150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over63c5,039$3,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,848.44,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under23c5,010$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164.4343737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Over17c5,000$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,149.9931728.1%89 W · 228 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under79c5,000$3,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,949.991,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over21c4,764$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,764.137223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under58c4,750$2,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,743.744539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over19c3,927$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,177.2535244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under52c3,850$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009.8536235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over79c3,713$2,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.761,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over60c3,503$2,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408.641,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x92eb…9fcdbacked Under43c3,499$1,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,492.6119738.1%75 W · 122 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked Under9c3,200$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.797431.1%23 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under2c3,125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5044130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over21c3,108$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,460.382,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under79c2,934$2,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,317.8677845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Under5c2,865$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.2917534.9%61 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under78c2,683$2,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,090.332,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under11c2,623$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9927931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe00e…ea73backed Under43c2,490$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.1910732.7%35 W · 72 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over40c2,400$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,434.6453629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under41c2,337$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.6129740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Under2c2,289$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1217827.5%49 W · 129 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under78c2,198$1,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,706.13,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under30c2,132$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.9839933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over59c2,129$1,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.012,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaae5…2341backed Under5c2,014$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.825724.6%14 W · 43 L+6.6wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+88%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcc8d…0939backed Over77c2,000$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4601650%8 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under78c1,852$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.933,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over67c1,816$1,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.741,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Over59c1,781$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.960752.4%318 W · 289 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over71c1,752$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.1687237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Under9c1,735$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.4836234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Over21c1,667$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.677038.6%27 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2952…4e7ebacked Over36c1,667$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.672528%7 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-38.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under39c1,576$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.862,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over23c1,543$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.4846223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over66c1,508$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.5351514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over62c1,461$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.8636539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Over48c1,458$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.3341968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under68c1,425$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.464,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over65c1,346$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.042,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Under7c1,308$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.827032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over30c1,296$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.2417938%68 W · 111 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf639…4a74backed Over40c1,268$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.0817322.5%39 W · 134 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Under2c1,250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under79c1,240$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.791,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under42c1,228$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.1725942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0f8…003dbacked Under1c1,200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12948.5%8 W · 86 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-82.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Under3c1,154$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6546012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Under6c1,109$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8729347.4%139 W · 154 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over65c1,103$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.261,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over26c1,100$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.9813447.8%64 W · 70 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x673d…1247backed Under4c1,077$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.859833.7%33 W · 65 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x19b6…b7cdbacked Over21c1,000$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7904643.5%20 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013530.4%41 W · 94 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over42c999.7$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.8945421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Over21c991.81$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.536139.3%24 W · 37 L+7.0wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+24.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under65c961.98$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.6485851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over53c900.13$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.058,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ceb…b424backed Over23c896.57$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.76425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over43c877.17$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.9931545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over23c869.57$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.5731435.7%112 W · 202 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe72e…c780backed Over36c842.39$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.3914539.3%57 W · 88 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over64c841.86$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.222,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under9c834.49$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.121,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Over22c784.54$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.547639.5%30 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under40c728.59$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.891,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Over64c724.33$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.7426647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Under38c705.66$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.8734924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over59c692.86$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.8713247%62 W · 70 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Over59c677.97$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.9721443%92 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc046…d8f0backed Under15c666.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014131.2%44 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Under35c660.54$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.1934122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over21c652.38$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.3811122.5%25 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under79c632.9$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9967447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54d3…4d37backed Over34c588.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.246845.6%31 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7a…9e24backed Under59c579.13$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.1713234.1%45 W · 87 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Over20c558.74$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.9936631.1%114 W · 252 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over57c551.58$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.3459453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb870…9f67backed Over58c520.99$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.87633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-34.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under39c520.32$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.6723637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb172…7862backed Over59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.4727837.8%105 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.