TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$639,318
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$627,445

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $639,318 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3496…8fc4backed Over31c347,000$109,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109,22017034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under67c320,000$214,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105,599.8474752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under73c76,752$56,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,694.454,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x195c…73acbacked Over42c31,918$13,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,336.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa3c…3111backed Over26c30,000$7,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,689.554341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under59c17,000$9,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,04074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Over40c12,500$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010840.7%44 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Over40c12,277$4,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,910.7121937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf374…ce1abacked Under64c9,000$5,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,279.913545.7%16 W · 19 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+15.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under61c6,000$3,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,35536247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over14c5,892$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.734,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over24c5,243$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,248.42,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over39c5,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.971,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under59c4,688$2,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.873,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under61c4,569$2,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,794.692,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under58c4,088$2,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,716.392,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under59c3,687$2,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.7138026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under59c3,687$2,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.932,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe31d…a83dbacked Under68c3,676$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.474067.5%27 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+26.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb98…b473backed Over41c3,312$1,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,343.112466.7%16 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Over38c3,035$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15016953.3%90 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked Under60c2,955$1,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.017331.5%23 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over28c2,929$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.011,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5022…9b18backed Over40c2,222$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.863145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over7c2,211$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.412,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf94f…9adabacked Under62c2,159$1,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.872763%17 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d86…52acbacked Under18c2,123$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.82633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick9cpaid+335.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc33…eb35backed Over34c2,030$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.987157.7%41 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Over15c2,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29017625%44 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over34c1,865$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.092,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under61c1,742$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.852,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under65c1,737$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.951,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Under60c1,700$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6809838.8%38 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under60c1,571$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.623,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over31c1,461$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.754,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcf2…1e5bbacked Under61c1,447$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.374327.9%12 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over24c1,386$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.212,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over40c1,292$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.612,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9867447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x500a…6866backed Over41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009341.9%39 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf346…8232backed Over11c1,022$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.125510.6%27 W · 228 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over41c1,020$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41814620.5%30 W · 116 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Over32c1,001$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.3214226.8%38 W · 104 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over39c1,000$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.541,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d8…e9a1backed Over40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011642.2%49 W · 67 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Over39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39070648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Under70c909.84$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.8422846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Under60c889$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.616946.2%78 W · 91 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeff8…68ebbacked Under60c875$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35013237.1%49 W · 83 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Under60c833$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.214856.1%83 W · 65 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbd9…de31backed Under61c820.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.235360.4%32 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12a2…0e71backed Under61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.6719158.1%111 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Over39c814.97$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.8413860.9%84 W · 54 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over6c802.78$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.073,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Over40c757.5$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30322355.6%124 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over22c718.7$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.672,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3504…d4f1backed Over41c658.54$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27012556.8%71 W · 54 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over23c651.7$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14817938%68 W · 111 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under77c620.34$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.711,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaae5…2341backed Under13c600$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5225724.6%14 W · 43 L+6.6wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+88%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8a74…ae2bbacked Over35c530$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.51118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab72…8af7backed Over22c527.78$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.452025%5 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under34c503.36$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.911,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ea…105dbacked Under61c500.34$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.3117735%62 W · 115 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…cbe8backed Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012435.5%44 W · 80 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Under59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20542710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b34…c6efbacked Under58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2104944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43e3…43f7backed Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023230.2%70 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Under68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16024247.1%114 W · 128 L-1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9943…a5e9backed Under60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92f6…3784backed Over40c487.96$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1976258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c7b…bd59backed Over56c444.47$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.7522147.1%104 W · 117 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03bc…ad27backed Under61c409.92$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.9215227%41 W · 111 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under61c409.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.8420841.3%86 W · 122 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over33c405.98$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.328,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37a1…bedfbacked Under60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16010042%42 W · 58 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over41c390.44$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.612,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd054…c6bebacked Under61c380$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.212252.5%64 W · 58 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6100…1c0bbacked Under69c377.23$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.232437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under39c365.99$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.612,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb01f…574ebacked Over19c352$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0111618.1%21 W · 95 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb50f…2c5dbacked Over30c340$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10211443%49 W · 65 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked Under65c330.29$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.9914655.5%81 W · 65 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ef…b24bbacked Under61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8722731.3%71 W · 156 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Over22c319.5$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7382537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b8a…a805backed Over40c317.5$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1274346.5%20 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3752…9d56backed Under65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.697742.9%33 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Over40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12045445.4%206 W · 248 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under61c299.99$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.411,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over18c299.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5422846.5%106 W · 122 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a58…b808backed Under59c299.99$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.9922835.5%81 W · 147 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45f2…722ebacked Under61c299.7$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.886338.1%24 W · 39 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-34.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Under72c290.32$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.8687237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0da…c8febacked Under60c280$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1122360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under65c278.88$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.7187837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x300c…6a92backed Over30c273.11$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4610849.1%53 W · 55 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f74…8741backed Over13c268.67$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.593218.8%6 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x826e…8d34backed Over39c253.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57e1…c97fbacked Under60c251$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.47655.3%42 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e51…92bfbacked Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003020%6 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-58.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.