Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d270b4959e3c402788a3681c9c573c39896f1870bef943786a5aa84ac275df9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 19c | 10,964$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.68 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Over | 79c | 4,633$3,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.91 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 18c | 3,724$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.86 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 19c | 3,643$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.16 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 21c | 3,454$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.09 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 20c | 2,992$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.9 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…9fcdbacked Under | 1c | 2,525$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 197 | 38.1%75 W · 122 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 20c | 2,467$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.35 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 20c | 2,007$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.79 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 19c | 1,658$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.96 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 7c | 1,653$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.01 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked Under | 19c | 1,537$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.58 | 341 | 22.3%76 W · 265 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Under | 19c | 1,357$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.82 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 18c | 1,285$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.83 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Under | 20c | 1,282$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.23 | 362 | 35.9%130 W · 232 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f8…003dbacked Under | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Over | 80c | 900$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…050ebacked Under | 16c | 773.42$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.36 | 236 | 37.7%89 W · 147 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Over | 80c | 712.59$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.59 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Under | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 19c | 481.54$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…e3c8backed Under | 22c | 454.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2738…ebf4backed Over | 79c | 443.54$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.14 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f48…188abacked Over | 80c | 368.23$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…658bbacked Under | 21c | 357.14$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 153 | 36.6%56 W · 97 L | +12.2wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 20c | 346.3$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.38 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 21c | 310.09$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.87 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 20c | 293.76$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…3032backed Over | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…2bf0backed Under | 21c | 238.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 221 | 22.2%49 W · 172 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18fe…af43backed Over | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under | 31c | 161.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 69c | 140$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9200…1b9bbacked Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08d8…fe20backed Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 18c | 118.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 80c | 114.44$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ca…3abfbacked Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…466cbacked Under | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8a…e0f7backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc53f…8d44backed Under | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed Under | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 214 | 39.7%85 W · 129 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf985…9783backed Under | 29c | 86.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 21c | 86.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Under | 23c | 78.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…814abacked Over | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 631 | 52.9%334 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…e8e6backed Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…0b3bbacked Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 109 | 76.1%83 W · 26 L | +11.9wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +18%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0392…ab02backed Over | 78c | 51.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 22c | 50.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 477 | 44.2%211 W · 266 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 71c | 50.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…fc63backed Over | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Over | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 227 | 52.4%119 W · 108 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…7b04backed Over | 79c | 31.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3c…2bc2backed Over | 78c | 31.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f82…1779backed Over | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d0…cee8backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x946b…2e06backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x436d…dadebacked Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…08bfbacked Over | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94e3…49b7backed Over | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 93 | 66.7%62 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad5…423bbacked Over | 79c | 13.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.83 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf262…c56dbacked Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 6.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 7.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 8.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 2.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Portugal (-4.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Portugal (-5.5)Uzbekistan won
- Spread: Uzbekistan (-1.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Uzbekistan (-2.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Uzbekistan (-5.5)Portugal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.