TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Portugal (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Uzbekistanof Portugal, Uzbekistan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$159,127
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$154,017

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,127 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7349…cc3abacked Portugal15c8,374$1,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.2120646.1%95 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Portugal18c7,940$1,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,411.0653629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Portugal11c7,027$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.552,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fb2…f24cbacked Portugal5c4,999$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.955832.8%19 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Portugal20c3,916$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.011,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Portugal22c3,445$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.841747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Portugal22c3,443$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.4436123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeff8…68ebbacked Portugal17c2,933$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.9213237.1%49 W · 83 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Portugal19c2,656$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.118837.2%70 W · 118 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Portugal15c2,206$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.592,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf989…47ccbacked Portugal13c1,513$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004742.6%20 W · 27 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xac35…ad85backed Portugal20c1,511$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007320.5%15 W · 58 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48d9…227fbacked Portugal18c1,500$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2737339.7%29 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed Portugal18c1,413$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.9528042.1%118 W · 162 L-16.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Uzbekistan79c1,382$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.732,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Portugal17c1,181$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.5826459.5%157 W · 107 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x44d5…dafabacked Portugal23c1,160$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.26229.1%2 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick19cpaid-66%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff8e…1438backed Portugal10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005935.6%21 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e89…3e0abacked Portugal11c944.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026716.1%43 W · 224 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Portugal21c938.21$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19560821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Portugal18c902.73$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.421,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Portugal23c885$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.61,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Portugal20c874.26$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.9727034.4%93 W · 177 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa80e…9fd6backed Portugal6c810.07$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022216.2%36 W · 186 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+59.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Portugal13c787.32$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3162633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1985…51abbacked Portugal9c778.56$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0712156.2%68 W · 53 L+19.7wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+69.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Portugal14c704.31$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.281,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2458…df0ebacked Portugal14c699.97$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.88425%21 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked Portugal9c667.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0619356%108 W · 85 L+34.7wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+61%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x1d6d…f2b4backed Portugal16c636.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0486…0a0bbacked Portugal4c616$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.79412.4%1 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick4cpaid+29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Portugal20c594.23$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.752,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bc9…29a8backed Portugal5c593.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.92410%0 W · 41 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed Portugal17c588.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022633.6%76 W · 150 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdabf…6318backed Portugal5c572.11$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.98728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3968…85b5backed Portugal9c556.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0510761.7%66 W · 41 L+20.4wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+66.4%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xb83d…826fbacked Portugal5c521.96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.53313.2%1 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-59.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Portugal9c514.53$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.137242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3705…9677backed Portugal21c469.93$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.695223.1%12 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6807…370bbacked Portugal23c440.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xefa7…b25bbacked Portugal23c438.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004341.9%18 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Portugal18c435.83$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.321,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Portugal12c433.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.473,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed Uzbekistan79c379.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7520253.5%108 W · 94 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Portugal16c350.97$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.451,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04f6…49f1backed Portugal15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508728.7%25 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Uzbekistan78c304.1$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1718056.1%101 W · 79 L+14.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2785…ce75backed Portugal19c247.16$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.967337%27 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8582…959fbacked Portugal20c242.3$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4910440.4%42 W · 62 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca85…7453backed Portugal22c225.79$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.777722.1%17 W · 60 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Portugal9c221.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9637747.7%180 W · 197 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08cd…f35fbacked Portugal23c221.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509540%38 W · 57 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8668…f04fbacked Portugal23c215.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501625%4 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed Portugal17c200$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.117248.3%83 W · 89 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c7a…f376backed Portugal11c184.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.229159.3%54 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x40a0…829fbacked Portugal14c178.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254443.2%19 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f0a…60f7backed Portugal16c155.86$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.161154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed Portugal11c149.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.514260.6%86 W · 56 L+25.7wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+49.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x7d92…4c7abacked Portugal20c143.56$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5718736.4%68 W · 119 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c7f…25bdbacked Portugal15c136.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020932.5%68 W · 141 L+0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a3…0b85backed Portugal23c132.74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Portugal10c132.74$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4337237.4%139 W · 233 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Portugal14c127.45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.519742.1%83 W · 114 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0801…77ddbacked Portugal22c112.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.684619.6%9 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-40%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88b7…849cbacked Portugal14c104.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Uzbekistan78c103.68$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8129030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Portugal15c103.23$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1649426.7%132 W · 362 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49e1…a8bdbacked Portugal20c100.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012517.6%22 W · 103 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-43.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44aa…d1d5backed Portugal16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.88846.6%41 W · 47 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x848d…9867backed Uzbekistan80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2019351.8%100 W · 93 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa729…24cabacked Portugal18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-57.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Portugal18c95.45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1822052.3%115 W · 105 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe270…eab5backed Portugal14c87$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7524136.9%89 W · 152 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Portugal13c82.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9185550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e62…79f1backed Portugal19c81.89$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5626449.2%130 W · 134 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed Portugal19c80$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2823741.8%99 W · 138 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f08…cbe8backed Portugal20c71.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.714143.9%18 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb064…c2c2backed Portugal22c68.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151816.7%3 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-70.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Uzbekistan80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.527242.3%115 W · 157 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c20…bd85backed Portugal25c60.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514148.2%68 W · 73 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Portugal20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-66.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…f3a3backed Portugal22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd6a…fdbbbacked Uzbekistan78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.322166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.