Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 6.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd53fb03e11829549e105ed04b0b1c7d39cb02c86be34f0d9b2917d84ca7c3d1d

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 23, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $256,580
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $266,245

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $256,580 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	5c	33,007$1,728 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,727.72	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	4c	26,929$1,029 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,029.1	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	9c	23,046$2,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,024.86	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over	4c	9,787$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.74	515	14.2%73 W · 442 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc61f…35a6backed Over	5c	4,603$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.94	318	42.5%135 W · 183 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over	17c	3,566$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	282	24.1%68 W · 214 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Over	16c	3,000$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465	296	33.4%99 W · 197 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Over	19c	2,922$561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$561.33	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	11c	2,747$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.03	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e2…ec79backed Over	8c	2,483$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.38	87	23%20 W · 67 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda2b…9adcbacked Over	5c	2,403$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.28	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over	5c	2,102$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.31	387	34.4%133 W · 254 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb319…4a75backed Over	5c	1,816$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.24	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb8b…1fb2backed Over	5c	1,771$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Over	4c	1,507$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	96	22.9%22 W · 74 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	5c	1,256$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.06	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91d8…9e8dbacked Over	4c	1,177$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	501	46.1%231 W · 270 L	+14.2wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Over	1c	1,176$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.35	46	23.9%11 W · 35 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed Over	9c	1,142$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.33	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea87…cf3abacked Over	5c	1,024$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.58	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70a7…33c4backed Over	5c	969$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.39	32	0%0 W · 32 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf695…409fbacked Over	5c	901.92$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.9	62	21%13 W · 49 L	-7.9wins	-0.13per pick	34cpaid	-57.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	4c	841.1$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.49	681	41.1%280 W · 401 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Over	6c	833.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	199	39.2%78 W · 121 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over	9c	799.25$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.53	372	37.4%139 W · 233 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over	14c	731.89$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.44	1,224	43.4%531 W · 693 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Over	5c	677.73$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.85	388	17.5%68 W · 320 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe668…8a94backed Over	15c	667.05$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.9	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over	10c	656.84$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.03	477	44.2%211 W · 266 L	+9.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x627b…285bbacked Over	5c	643.28$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	128	44.5%57 W · 71 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x17cd…5aa6backed Over	4c	625.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	8c	558.98$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.94	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	8c	501.87$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.69	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over	5c	500$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	283	37.1%105 W · 178 L	-9.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e62…79f1backed Over	4c	439.76$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.72	264	49.2%130 W · 134 L	+10.2wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over	5c	416.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	522	17.4%91 W · 431 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7cb…fbe2backed Over	5c	406.77$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.19	40	0%0 W · 40 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4869…b7abbacked Over	5c	364$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.93	33	3%1 W · 32 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over	10c	349.58$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.14	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over	15c	335.57$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	462	23.2%107 W · 355 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Over	5c	308.87$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.37	984	39.2%386 W · 598 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c1…185cbacked Over	5c	283.02$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	67	25.4%17 W · 50 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	7c	276.88$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.16	695	34.8%242 W · 453 L	-48.8wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf8a3…0c5dbacked Over	17c	269.99$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.9	25	0%0 W · 25 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Over	18c	259.99$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.8	189	29.1%55 W · 134 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb28a…6d4abacked Over	12c	167$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.04	87	13.8%12 W · 75 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea3f…1422backed Over	15c	162.13$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	94	28.7%27 W · 67 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cfc…661ebacked Over	13c	157.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	127	11.8%15 W · 112 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-21%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a0d…b8b0backed Over	13c	139.53$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	12c	123.05$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.23	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over	10c	121.25$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.54	589	42.6%251 W · 338 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c3…ebfabacked Over	12c	119.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.52	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Over	12c	106.56$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	494	26.7%132 W · 362 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ad…2161backed Over	14c	106.38$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	145	26.2%38 W · 107 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbed…0ff6backed Under	80c	102.94$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dbf…0a5abacked Over	20c	102.94$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x953e…79ffbacked Over	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	115	35.7%41 W · 74 L	-8.1wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over	20c	99.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	414	44.9%186 W · 228 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddfc…cd9ebacked Under	75c	16.26$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.03	60	43.3%26 W · 34 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 6.5this page
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5Under won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 7.5Under won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 8.5Under won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 1.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 2.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Portugal won
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Portugal won
Spread: Portugal (-4.5)Portugal won
Spread: Portugal (-5.5)Uzbekistan won
Spread: Uzbekistan (-1.5)Portugal won
Spread: Uzbekistan (-2.5)Portugal won
Spread: Uzbekistan (-5.5)Portugal won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 6.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event