TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,807,135
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,996,934

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,807,135 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,071 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c180,969$97,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97,936.844,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over25c71,631$17,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,723.2874752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under75c61,480$46,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,097.232031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34f6…4535backed Over58c60,000$34,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,199.954456.8%25 W · 19 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over52c55,563$28,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,769.723,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under52c39,665$20,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,644.712,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over55c33,193$18,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,824.3424533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under39c31,187$12,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,184.4342541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Under39c26,242$10,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,234.5711647.4%55 W · 61 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over53c22,451$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,450.8228224.1%68 W · 214 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Under50c22,061$11,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,130.717642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d2…de22backed Over24c20,146$4,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,310.831233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Under9c20,070$1,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,791.415844.3%70 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9a6…627bbacked Over50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,00011645.7%53 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4ba…dababacked Over50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,000771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Under12c17,997$2,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,132.4675335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x896e…53f2backed Under66c15,056$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00017443.1%75 W · 99 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under39c13,929$5,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,399.4244539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6bf…16b9backed Under75c13,308$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0009148.4%44 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under39c12,628$4,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,868.561,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Under38c12,090$4,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,650.1514045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Under25c11,853$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.9920839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over50c11,332$5,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,665.5264446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef04…f6e3backed Under49c10,985$5,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,434.14746.8%22 W · 25 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under44c10,982$4,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,848.128229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fc3…b676backed Under47c10,608$4,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,964.666428.1%18 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Over60c10,130$6,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,037.0420150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x06c4…7b1ebacked Under1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc50c…fe5dbacked Over65c9,592$6,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,396.91070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over24c9,313$2,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,036.141,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Under42c8,944$3,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,748.1622933.6%77 W · 152 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under6c8,889$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.527931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe97…6347backed Over66c8,396$5,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,871.0312958.1%75 W · 54 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under27c8,035$2,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,153.4630626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over68c8,012$5,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,537.584,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over52c7,353$3,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,561.973,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd8…7749backed Under34c7,286$2,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,48016041.3%66 W · 94 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under50c6,927$3,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,432.5617748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under45c6,587$2,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,954.2833740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under52c6,256$3,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,253.6739644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92eb…642cbacked Over47c6,010$2,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,176.239322.6%21 W · 72 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Under43c6,000$2,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,580.0129633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over65c6,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,10021631%67 W · 149 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over55c5,808$3,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,612.228,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under40c5,754$2,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,301.137650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under60c5,503$3,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,327.0777152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under20c5,330$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.5543737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Under53c5,274$2,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,775.5411343.4%49 W · 64 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over58c5,220$3,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,187.927032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aec…2b9ebacked Under53c5,162$2,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,723.166532.3%21 W · 44 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under44c5,113$2,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,238.2739933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Under42c5,089$2,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,145.415040%60 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed Under50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50010851.9%56 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over61c5,000$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,95012254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under75c5,000$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7501,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Under65c5,000$3,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,25010471.2%74 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over54c4,999$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.6523857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over59c4,861$2,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,995.9936234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Over75c4,749$3,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.8798134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over58c4,631$2,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,944.7717938%68 W · 111 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over25c4,585$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,438.7538734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c4,387$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8721314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Under37c4,375$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,633.297150.7%36 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under47c4,325$2,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,045.6336235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Over26c4,231$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,130.7730142.5%128 W · 173 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked Under27c4,216$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.427431.1%23 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13b8…d1afbacked Under63c4,202$2,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,665.3912655.6%70 W · 56 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc83f…ed1ebacked Over67c4,030$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.857636.8%28 W · 48 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+103.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Over61c4,018$2,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,567.0220547.3%97 W · 108 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Under75c4,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00014433.3%48 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc3…7a59backed Under1c3,989$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.89250%0 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52e9…c2c1backed Under77c3,871$2,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,977.519840.8%40 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc54…db0ebacked Over71c3,631$2,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.9719653.6%105 W · 91 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over23c3,530$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,717.8422342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over58c3,448$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.2824341.2%100 W · 143 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over45c3,175$1,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.51,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa608…1b35backed Over61c3,115$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.753336.4%12 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over65c3,060$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.1736038.1%137 W · 223 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under54c3,021$1,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,631.3419946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd6f…1765backed Over25c3,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.8811946.2%55 W · 64 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under39c2,902$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.5329740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x250f…4fc6backed Under35c2,809$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.8111156.8%63 W · 48 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15c2…345abacked Under37c2,703$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008742.5%37 W · 50 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac35…c2d4backed Over74c2,703$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.71643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under69c2,652$1,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,821.282,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07e2…4b9cbacked Under28c2,651$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.9318929.1%55 W · 134 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8452…cc80backed Under38c2,635$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002524%6 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-51%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Over67c2,559$1,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.3321759%128 W · 89 L+13.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd831…6fccbacked Over52c2,522$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.232250%11 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Under2c2,443$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4646230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under41c2,429$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.382,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under48c2,400$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,16031851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under44c2,373$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.921,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Over26c2,300$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7128617.4%15 W · 71 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over24c2,266$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,712.12,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Over45c2,220$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,22125537.6%96 W · 159 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6094…d510backed Over58c2,188$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.939045.6%41 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27ea…863dbacked Under36c2,187$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.835728.1%16 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa566…72debacked Under39c2,163$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.317040%28 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda6f…2874backed Over47c2,138$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.537247.2%34 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.