TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$422,535
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$519,514

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $422,535 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed Under44c141,170$62,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,324.5877152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over57c54,000$30,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,26023942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over55c50,000$27,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,50021343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under43c22,222$9,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,555.4421836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over56c22,110$12,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,737.92,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over56c17,500$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,70012254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Over55c15,979$8,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,249.488932.6%29 W · 60 L-10.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-30.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under48c12,271$5,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,881.574,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under44c10,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,399.9938026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over56c9,550$5,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,202.222,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over56c9,505$5,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,175.058,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under44c9,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.951,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under45c7,772$3,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,506.482,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd190…2650backed Over57c6,000$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5801136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under37c5,948$2,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,179.244,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under44c5,820$2,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,560.686857.4%39 W · 29 L+7.9wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+25.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Over54c5,591$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,591.0927433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x514b…5fa9backed Over55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2507538.7%29 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Over56c4,688$2,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,062.513843.5%60 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under45c4,430$1,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,993.570244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under45c3,149$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,414.681,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Under47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.993234.4%11 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over56c2,999$1,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.5622943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over73c2,179$1,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.512,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Over55c2,107$1,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.3725124.7%62 W · 189 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under14c2,083$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.242,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under19c2,067$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.184,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under45c2,060$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.43,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4770…1ddebacked Over55c1,655$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.551457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under46c1,500$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.933,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over53c1,361$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.6222749.3%112 W · 115 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under47c1,353$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.531,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under16c1,338$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.512,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under46c1,327$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.292,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef3a…1eb3backed Over56c1,271$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.734544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x096a…390bbacked Over55c1,251$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.121338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55a6…eeb0backed Over56c1,250$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5504242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x839f…fb43backed Over56c1,200$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5289149.5%45 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dbb…352fbacked Over55c1,147$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.2816441.5%68 W · 96 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Over56c1,147$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.567038.6%27 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ab…fb13backed Over53c1,132$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.0825842.2%109 W · 149 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6993…3f71backed Under45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50022419.6%44 W · 180 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-45.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed Over55c1,091$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.9125528.6%73 W · 182 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x095e…5062backed Under46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008833%29 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43041429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4301,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50070648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52013155%72 W · 59 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f3b…11fbbacked Over55c899.98$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.997358.9%43 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over56c893.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.2330465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67c5…cab7backed Over56c893.17$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.178842%37 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3999…f793backed Over56c892$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.483737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xafce…c2f6backed Over57c881.9$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.222222.7%5 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b57…5d9abacked Over56c864.56$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.418156.8%46 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2cb…ad46backed Over56c838.98$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.292842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over55c767.31$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.2919038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Over57c701.75$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.7510328.2%29 W · 74 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b6…b7cdbacked Over56c688.03$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.734643.5%20 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under46c652.21$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.2176551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9237955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6da9…cb87backed Under44c566.62$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.411533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under44c564$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.9629449%144 W · 150 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Over74c551.86$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.2921850%109 W · 109 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under47c548.52$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.472,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Under46c542.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.724950.2%125 W · 124 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Over75c533.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3321443%92 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x943c…1d17backed Under45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252619.2%5 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-67.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over55c499.95$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.9828337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09c1…0ddfbacked Under44c497.87$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.065549.1%27 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under45c468.43$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.5546550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Over55c454.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5522846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33ea…68d0backed Under46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004847.9%23 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89cf…5f47backed Over53c424.53$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.536036.7%22 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5191…06f2backed Over80c406.84$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.626053.3%32 W · 28 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd050…d6bcbacked Over56c362.5$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.57436.5%27 W · 47 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd220…fc0bbacked Over56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1410432.7%34 W · 70 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c98…f4f4backed Over56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1421052.4%110 W · 100 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf9…dde4backed Over56c328.93$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.739055.6%50 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b6d…8b43backed Under46c326.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504934.7%17 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under44c319.97$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.391,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Over69c312.14$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0787837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x92f6…3784backed Under46c304.35$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1406258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…67fdbacked Under45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13532046.6%149 W · 171 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Over56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13245248.9%221 W · 231 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde01…a938backed Over56c297.57$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.936440.6%26 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Under45c296$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.29842.9%42 W · 56 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under46c280.26$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.63,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1028…d62cbacked Under50c280$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under45c279.99$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.151,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34df…3eecbacked Over51c279.41$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.911747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14a9…d2d1backed Under48c275.02$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.012733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-38.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over55c270.55$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.7515949.7%79 W · 80 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb020…92f3backed Over55c270$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.523343.3%101 W · 132 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x59a8…eb4ebacked Over56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8616946.7%79 W · 90 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07b2…f077backed Over56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.863868.4%26 W · 12 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+24.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over65c264.59$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.661,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd0e…3beabacked Over56c257.38$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.241566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under45c249.47$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.952,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over80c247.16$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.471,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6118…8a3abacked Over56c233$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.525554.5%30 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.