TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,503,147
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,630,282

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,503,147 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 869 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2805…76edbacked Under33c147,999$48,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,839.7420448%98 W · 106 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Over67c115,000$77,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,95022348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over66c97,478$64,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,878.171,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Under33c96,200$31,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,745.9318738%71 W · 116 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under1c82,822$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.7524533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under29c81,170$23,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,445.054,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Under34c63,000$21,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,419.8517949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97cb…e4d0backed Over61c50,216$30,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,584.431376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+54.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4543…72d1backed Over66c33,333$22,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,333.331758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under33c33,029$10,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,809.8577152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under7c29,842$1,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,963.7336235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc96e…f1f9backed Under33c27,658$9,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,127.198048.8%39 W · 41 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+27.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d08…eda0backed Under0c27,000$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1158835.2%31 W · 57 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+136.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over67c25,274$16,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,340.3374752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07d8…294abacked Over67c22,946$15,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,572.295841.4%24 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over68c21,700$14,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,946.178,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4229…2e67backed Over66c21,695$14,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,376.411154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Under3c17,341$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.8122933.6%77 W · 152 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under2c16,481$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.3139933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over76c16,079$12,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,826.142,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under12c15,752$1,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,952.711,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under32c15,728$5,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,032.9533538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under10c14,434$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.544,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over67c13,569$9,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,477.862,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d86…52acbacked Under1c13,486$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.86633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick9cpaid+335.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x128b…bee9backed Under8c12,934$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.246956.5%39 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+57.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24f0…7ad4backed Over66c12,265$8,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,164.725442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under33c12,000$3,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,959.9629646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under36c11,800$4,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,277.4850243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under36c10,800$3,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,858.5247144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under18c10,741$1,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900.5113811.6%16 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under36c10,300$3,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,747.2248441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under33c10,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.9638026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Under33c10,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.866842.6%29 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under7c8,799$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.3730626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under22c8,601$1,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,890.921,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked Under33c8,141$2,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,686.67331.5%23 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e45…5b61backed Over67c8,105$5,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,674.776154.1%33 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under34c7,907$2,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,718.872,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Over68c7,353$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,352.9416947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Under34c7,279$2,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4757744.2%34 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under36c7,000$2,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,496.6244144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under36c6,841$2,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,476.0747643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under36c6,800$2,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,439.9647442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf298…ada5backed Over67c6,686$4,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,223.316943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under2c6,170$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.3438819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Over67c5,704$3,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,882.2351032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under34c5,351$1,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,802.232,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Under34c5,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70032254%174 W · 148 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Under33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6505538.2%21 W · 34 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Under38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.9918837.2%70 W · 118 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Under6c4,966$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.9717642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under1c4,750$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5521722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under39c4,486$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.541,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under7c4,472$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.91,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x36b8…7e74backed Over68c4,400$2,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over66c4,040$2,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.638734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Under31c4,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.9814433.3%48 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under33c4,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.9529250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Under33c3,888$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.0314348.3%69 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x662b…73a8backed Over66c3,777$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.5727236%98 W · 174 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9786…4c55backed Over67c3,731$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.349549.5%47 W · 48 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under36c3,414$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.231,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under1c3,412$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1243737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Under8c3,375$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.2738333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd550…9228backed Over62c3,316$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,245.71560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc32e…203dbacked Over68c3,279$2,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.142245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over67c3,134$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.3345428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under34c3,088$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05028025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9806…0367backed Over66c3,030$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.35448.1%26 W · 28 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x040d…1a5ebacked Under34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02012432.3%40 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under34c2,941$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9944130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0500…540bbacked Over67c2,927$1,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.854358.1%25 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under7c2,797$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.21,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under35c2,741$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.242,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under34c2,418$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.329740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc66f…104cbacked Over67c2,239$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.816141%25 W · 36 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under34c2,194$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.71,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over67c2,193$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.881,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under39c2,176$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.721,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Under33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66015128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under36c2,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72064443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc658…64acbacked Under5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-1.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09a3…2349backed Over67c1,969$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.664440.9%18 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over67c1,940$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.337955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e1…b9b4backed Under34c1,765$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007146.5%33 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under2c1,749$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.982,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Over66c1,736$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.465835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over67c1,672$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.631,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under17c1,611$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.951,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2671…8de4backed Under3c1,600$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2620013.5%27 W · 173 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39bc…2739backed Over63c1,582$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.699241.3%38 W · 54 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over66c1,554$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.233544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde7d…9ba5backed Over66c1,520$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.83262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Over66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.1525228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23fa…140bbacked Over66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.1516750.3%84 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e24…3474backed Over67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.5414444.4%64 W · 80 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.5428224.1%68 W · 214 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1129…6f00backed Over67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.542665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Over67c1,482$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.095356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.