TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$153,454
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$172,434

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,454 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44a1…bd21backed Under3c22,944$688 inLost-$688.3232031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under4c15,542$544 inLost-$543.971,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under3c11,032$349 inLost-$348.932,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under3c10,000$347 inLost-$346.513811.6%16 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under3c7,000$241 inLost-$24130626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Under3c5,000$165 inLost-$16534125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under3c4,326$138 inLost-$137.5568141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under3c4,050$122 inLost-$121.53,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc53f…8d44backed Under3c3,176$97 inLost-$97.2640%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d08…eda0backed Under1c3,052$43 inLost-$43.018835.2%31 W · 57 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+136.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under3c2,848$83 inLost-$82.5871638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under3c1,912$57 inLost-$57.484,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf639…1d16backed Under3c1,714$60 inLost-$601947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+164.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6f7…27b7backed Under3c1,472$50 inLost-$5017638.1%67 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under4c1,442$51 inLost-$51.078,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under3c1,291$39 inLost-$38.731,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f8…003dbacked Under1c1,200$12 inLost-$12948.5%8 W · 86 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-82.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Under3c1,148$36 inLost-$36.3395037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ea…105dbacked Under3c1,029$35 inLost-$3517735%62 W · 115 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfae3…c20ebacked Under2c1,000$20 inLost-$201137.1%8 W · 105 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+90.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Under3c918.93$29 inLost-$29.4124028.8%69 W · 171 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e56…cfdabacked Under4c853.98$34 inLost-$34.167911.4%9 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7c4…1378backed Under3c520.19$16 inLost-$15.82737%10 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Under3c499.98$16 inLost-$168119.8%16 W · 65 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under2c417.44$10 inLost-$10.023,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under3c392$12 inLost-$12.3284844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under4c375.82$15 inLost-$15.0320638.8%80 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1147…da78backed Under4c299.99$13 inLost-$12.624542.9%105 W · 140 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e90…4a0dbacked Under4c266$12 inLost-$11.536018.3%11 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.